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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-19817u
ROI
-87%
win rate
4%
bets
4925
drawdown
1977.2%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-675u
period 24top-up-642u
period 23top-up-789u
period 22top-up-893u
period 21top-up-828u
period 20top-up-794u
period 19top-up-880u
period 18top-up-902u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale911%-1000-95.7%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1563%-1318-84.7%131.7%Select
10% of bankroll28754%-14965-90.1%1479.3%Select
1% of bankroll49254%-19817-87%1977.2%Select
2% of bankroll49254%-23509-87.7%2340.9%Select
5% of bankroll49254%-24787-88.9%2456.6%Select
Quarter Kelly48113%-24965-91.9%2496.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4925, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.003lost-3-18817
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.003lost-3-18813
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team15.003lost-3-18810
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.003lost-3-18807
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w TeamGamerLegion15.003lost-3-18803
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience14.003lost-3-18800
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamAurora Gaming9.003lost-3-18796
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.004lost-4-18793
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit4.804lost-4-18789
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming6.004lost-4-18786
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsBETBOOM Team2.704lost-4-18782
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.004lost-4-18779
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming14.004lost-4-18775
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.004lost-4-18771
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.004lost-4-18768
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.004lost-4-18764
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.304lost-4-18760
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.004lost-4-18756
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.004lost-4-18752
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience15.004lost-4-18748
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-18744
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.004lost-4-18740
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingTeam Yandex5.304lost-4-18736
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-18732
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Liquid11.004lost-4-18728
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingGamerLegion15.004lost-4-18724
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGOG3.404lost-4-18720
14.08.261w Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons6.604lost-4-18715
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONBETBOOM Team9.004lost-4-18711
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.004lost-4-18707
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming4.204lost-4-18702
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingL1ga Team4.204lost-4-18698
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Yandex4.805lost-5-18693
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.005lost-5-18689
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.805lost-5-18684
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingTeam Resilience8.505lost-5-18680
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w Team1w Team4.405lost-5-18675
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.005lost-5-18670
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming14.005lost-5-18666
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.005lost-5-18661
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.005lost-5-18656
13.08.261w Team – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy15.005lost-5-18651
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGOG3.205lost-5-18646
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming4.505lost-5-18641
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.005lost-5-18636
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.005lost-5-18631
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.005lost-5-18626
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.005lost-5-18621
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy5.305lost-5-18615
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.005lost-5-18610
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.005lost-5-18605
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP15.005lost-5-18599
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.006lost-6-18594
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.006lost-6-18588
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPYellow Submarine14.006lost-6-18583
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseTeam Lynx11.006lost-6-18577
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityIlbirs eSports13.006lost-6-18571
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZPower Rangers7.006lost-6-18565
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsRune Eaters Arise6.006won+28-18560
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereZero Tenacity14.006lost-6-18587
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.