Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-342u
ROI
-30.8%
win rate
32%
bets
120
drawdown
34.2%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
1% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-154u
period 2top-up-139u
period 1top-up-49u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 120 | 32% | -203 | -2.7% | 60.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 120 | 32% | -342 | -30.8% | 34.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 120 | 32% | -360 | -30% | 36% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 120 | 32% | -649 | -31.5% | 64.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 120 | 32% | -1380 | -33.6% | 138% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 120 | 32% | -2114 | -36.4% | 211.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 120, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Yellow Submarine – Power Rangers | Power Rangers | 2.09 | 9 | lost | -9 | 658 |
| 14.10.26 | Kalmychata – HULIGANI | HULIGANI | 2.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | 667 |
| 14.10.26 | Team Resilience – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 2.28 | 9 | lost | -9 | 675 |
| 14.10.26 | Team Lynx – PuckChamp | PuckChamp | 2.89 | 9 | lost | -9 | 684 |
| 14.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Kalmychata | Nemiga Gaming | 2.45 | 9 | lost | -9 | 693 |
| 14.10.26 | Inner Circle – Team Lynx | Inner Circle | 2.52 | 9 | lost | -9 | 702 |
| 13.10.26 | HULIGANI – Yellow Submarine | HULIGANI | 2.43 | 9 | lost | -9 | 711 |
| 13.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Dawn Bulls | Nemiga Gaming | 3.13 | 9 | won | +19 | 720 |
| 13.10.26 | Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 2.43 | 9 | lost | -9 | 701 |
| 13.10.26 | Gorgc Team – Nix Team | Gorgc Team | 2.03 | 9 | won | +9 | 710 |
| 13.10.26 | HULIGANI – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.02 | 9 | lost | -9 | 701 |
| 13.10.26 | Team Lynx – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 2.21 | 9 | lost | -9 | 710 |
| 12.10.26 | The WarriorsQ – Dawn Bulls | The WarriorsQ | 2.11 | 9 | lost | -9 | 719 |
| 12.10.26 | CyberHero – Team Lynx | CyberHero | 2.01 | 9 | lost | -9 | 728 |
| 12.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – 111 | Nemiga Gaming | 2.55 | 9 | won | +14 | 737 |
| 12.10.26 | CyberHero – PuckChamp | PuckChamp | 2.22 | 9 | lost | -9 | 723 |
| 11.10.26 | Team Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.12 | 9 | lost | -9 | 732 |
| 11.10.26 | Hokori – New Growth | Hokori | 2.01 | 9 | won | +9 | 742 |
| 09.10.26 | Team Spirit – Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 2.14 | 9 | lost | -9 | 732 |
| 08.10.26 | PARIVISION – Team Yandex | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 9 | lost | -9 | 741 |
| 08.10.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 751 |
| 07.10.26 | MOUZ – CyberHero | MOUZ | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 760 |
| 07.10.26 | Yellow Submarine – BlasterbI | BlasterbI | 2.22 | 9 | won | +12 | 770 |
| 06.10.26 | LEGION – MOUZ | MOUZ | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | 758 |
| 06.10.26 | Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine | Team Synapse | 2.20 | 9 | won | +11 | 768 |
| 06.10.26 | BlasterbI – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.36 | 10 | lost | -10 | 757 |
| 06.10.26 | HULIGANI – CyberHero | HULIGANI | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 766 |
| 05.10.26 | MOUZ – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 776 |
| 05.10.26 | Yellow Submarine – CyberHero | CyberHero | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 785 |
| 05.10.26 | Team Synapse – HULIGANI | HULIGANI | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 795 |
| 03.10.26 | Team Spirit – Team Yandex | Team Spirit | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | 805 |
| 03.10.26 | Daxak Team – Cake Team | Cake Team | 2.19 | 10 | won | +12 | 795 |
| 03.10.26 | PARIVISION – Aurora Gaming | PARIVISION | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 783 |
| 02.10.26 | GamerLegion – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 773 |
| 02.10.26 | 1w Team – Team Nemesis | 1w Team | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 783 |
| 01.10.26 | Aurora Gaming – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 773 |
| 01.10.26 | GamerLegion – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 783 |
| 01.10.26 | MOUZ – OG | MOUZ | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 793 |
| 01.10.26 | Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAM | BETBOOM TEAM | 2.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | 803 |
| 30.09.26 | PARIVISION – LGD Gaming | PARIVISION | 2.07 | 9 | won | +9 | 813 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Team Nemesis | 2.46 | 8 | won | +12 | 804 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Spirit – 1w Team | 1w Team | 2.20 | 8 | lost | -8 | 791 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Yandex – MOUZ | MOUZ | 2.68 | 9 | lost | -9 | 800 |
| 29.09.26 | 1w Team – Natus Vincere | 1w Team | 2.75 | 8 | won | +15 | 808 |
| 29.09.26 | Team Spirit – Team Nemesis | Team Nemesis | 2.05 | 9 | lost | -9 | 794 |
| 27.09.26 | YBN Team – Cake Team | YBN Team | 2.13 | 9 | lost | -9 | 802 |
| 27.09.26 | Daxak Team – Rostik Team | Rostik Team | 2.23 | 9 | lost | -9 | 811 |
| 27.09.26 | Team Yandex – Natus Vincere | Team Yandex | 2.25 | 9 | won | +11 | 819 |
| 27.09.26 | Stray Team – YBN Team | YBN Team | 2.05 | 8 | won | +9 | 809 |
| 27.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | LGD Gaming | 2.46 | 9 | lost | -9 | 800 |
| 26.09.26 | Natus Vincere – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 2.22 | 9 | lost | -9 | 808 |
| 26.09.26 | Daxak Team – YBN Team | YBN Team | 2.59 | 9 | lost | -9 | 817 |
| 26.09.26 | Aurora Gaming – Natus Vincere | Aurora Gaming | 2.31 | 9 | lost | -9 | 826 |
| 25.09.26 | YBN Team – TpaBoMaH Team | YBN Team | 2.17 | 9 | won | +10 | 835 |
| 25.09.26 | Cake Team – gpK~ Team | gpK~ Team | 2.10 | 9 | lost | -9 | 824 |
| 25.09.26 | Stray Team – Rostik Team | Stray Team | 2.18 | 9 | won | +10 | 833 |
| 25.09.26 | Xtreme Gaming – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.01 | 9 | won | +9 | 823 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine | Team Synapse | 2.43 | 9 | won | +12 | 814 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Team Nemesis | 2.21 | 9 | lost | -9 | 802 |
| 24.09.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | NS Team | 2.34 | 9 | lost | -9 | 811 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.