Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-1000u
ROI
-100%
win rate
0%
bets
7
drawdown
100%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1000 | -100% | 100% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 153 | 2% | -1330 | -87.2% | 133% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 4538 | 2% | -19694 | -92.7% | 1969.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 4538 | 2% | -23478 | -93.2% | 2347.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 4538 | 2% | -24798 | -94.2% | 2479.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 4519 | 2% | -24966 | -94.1% | 2496.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 4538 | 2% | -24969 | -93.8% | 2496.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 7, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.08.24 | nouns – Tundra Esports | nouns | 11.00 | 370 | lost | -370 | 0 |
| 22.08.24 | Gaimin Gladiators – BETBOOM Team | Gaimin Gladiators | 14.00 | 320 | lost | -320 | 370 |
| 22.08.24 | Team Spirit – Team Falcons | Team Falcons | 13.00 | 160 | lost | -160 | 690 |
| 22.08.24 | Cloud9 – G2 Invictus Gaming | G2 Invictus Gaming | 5.80 | 80 | lost | -80 | 850 |
| 21.08.24 | BETBOOM Team – Tundra Esports | BETBOOM Team | 6.30 | 40 | lost | -40 | 930 |
| 21.08.24 | Gaimin Gladiators – nouns | Gaimin Gladiators | 5.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | 970 |
| 21.08.24 | Team Spirit – Cloud9 | Cloud9 | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.