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Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

profit
-23478u
ROI
-93.2%
win rate
2%
bets
4538
drawdown
2347.8%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-894u
period 24top-up-870u
period 23top-up-952u
period 22top-up-988u
period 21top-up-972u
period 20top-up-955u
period 19top-up-986u
period 18top-up-990u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1532%-1330-87.2%133%Select
1% of bankroll45382%-19694-92.7%1969.4%Select
2% of bankroll45382%-23478-93.2%2347.8%Selected
5% of bankroll45382%-24798-94.2%2479.8%Select
Quarter Kelly45192%-24966-94.1%2496.6%Select
10% of bankroll45382%-24969-93.8%2496.9%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4538, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.002lost-2-22478
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.002lost-2-22476
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team15.002lost-2-22473
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.002lost-2-22471
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w TeamGamerLegion15.002lost-2-22469
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience14.002lost-2-22467
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamAurora Gaming9.002lost-2-22464
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.002lost-2-22462
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit4.803lost-3-22459
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming6.003lost-3-22457
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.003lost-3-22454
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming14.003lost-3-22451
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.003lost-3-22449
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.003lost-3-22446
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.003lost-3-22443
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.303lost-3-22440
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.003lost-3-22437
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.003lost-3-22434
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience15.003lost-3-22431
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.003lost-3-22428
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.003lost-3-22425
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingTeam Yandex5.303lost-3-22422
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.003lost-3-22419
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Liquid11.003lost-3-22415
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingGamerLegion15.003lost-3-22412
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGOG3.404lost-4-22408
14.08.261w Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons6.604lost-4-22405
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONBETBOOM Team9.004lost-4-22401
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.004lost-4-22397
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming4.204lost-4-22394
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingL1ga Team4.204lost-4-22390
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Yandex4.804lost-4-22386
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.004lost-4-22382
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.804lost-4-22378
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingTeam Resilience8.504lost-4-22373
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w Team1w Team4.404lost-4-22369
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-22365
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming14.005lost-5-22360
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.005lost-5-22356
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.005lost-5-22351
13.08.261w Team – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy15.005lost-5-22346
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGOG3.205lost-5-22342
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming4.505lost-5-22337
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.005lost-5-22332
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.005lost-5-22326
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.005lost-5-22321
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.005lost-5-22316
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy5.306lost-6-22310
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.006lost-6-22305
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.006lost-6-22299
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP15.006lost-6-22293
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.006lost-6-22287
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.006lost-6-22281
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPYellow Submarine14.006lost-6-22275
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseTeam Lynx11.006lost-6-22269
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityIlbirs eSports13.007lost-7-22263
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZPower Rangers7.007lost-7-22256
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsRune Eaters Arise6.006won+30-22249
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereZero Tenacity14.006lost-6-22280
09.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Rune EatersIlbirs eSports14.006lost-6-22274
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.