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Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

profit
-19694u
ROI
-92.7%
win rate
2%
bets
4538
drawdown
1969.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-673u
period 24top-up-636u
period 23top-up-779u
period 22top-up-889u
period 21top-up-831u
period 20top-up-784u
period 19top-up-879u
period 18top-up-901u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1532%-1330-87.2%133%Select
1% of bankroll45382%-19694-92.7%1969.4%Selected
2% of bankroll45382%-23478-93.2%2347.8%Select
5% of bankroll45382%-24798-94.2%2479.8%Select
Quarter Kelly45192%-24966-94.1%2496.6%Select
10% of bankroll45382%-24969-93.8%2496.9%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4538, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.003lost-3-18694
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.003lost-3-18691
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team15.003lost-3-18687
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.003lost-3-18684
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w TeamGamerLegion15.003lost-3-18681
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience14.003lost-3-18677
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamAurora Gaming9.004lost-4-18674
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.004lost-4-18670
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit4.804lost-4-18667
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming6.004lost-4-18663
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.004lost-4-18659
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming14.004lost-4-18656
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.004lost-4-18652
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.004lost-4-18648
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.004lost-4-18645
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.304lost-4-18641
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.004lost-4-18637
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.004lost-4-18633
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience15.004lost-4-18629
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-18625
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.004lost-4-18621
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingTeam Yandex5.304lost-4-18617
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-18613
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Liquid11.004lost-4-18609
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingGamerLegion15.004lost-4-18605
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGOG3.404lost-4-18601
14.08.261w Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons6.604lost-4-18596
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONBETBOOM Team9.004lost-4-18592
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.004lost-4-18588
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming4.204lost-4-18583
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingL1ga Team4.204lost-4-18579
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Yandex4.805lost-5-18574
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.005lost-5-18570
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.805lost-5-18565
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingTeam Resilience8.505lost-5-18561
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w Team1w Team4.405lost-5-18556
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.005lost-5-18551
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming14.005lost-5-18547
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.005lost-5-18542
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.005lost-5-18537
13.08.261w Team – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy15.005lost-5-18532
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGOG3.205lost-5-18527
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming4.505lost-5-18522
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.005lost-5-18517
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.005lost-5-18512
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.005lost-5-18507
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.005lost-5-18502
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy5.305lost-5-18496
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.005lost-5-18491
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.005lost-5-18486
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP15.005lost-5-18480
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.006lost-6-18475
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.006lost-6-18469
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPYellow Submarine14.006lost-6-18464
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseTeam Lynx11.006lost-6-18458
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityIlbirs eSports13.006lost-6-18452
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZPower Rangers7.006lost-6-18447
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsRune Eaters Arise6.006won+28-18441
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereZero Tenacity14.006lost-6-18469
09.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Rune EatersIlbirs eSports14.006lost-6-18463
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.