Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match β the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-1000u
ROI
-16.6%
win rate
49%
bets
144
drawdown
100%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
π―
What we bet on
Always the underdog
π°
Stake size
Martingale
π
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
π
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin β this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1top-up-1000u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2450 | 47% | -732 | -3.3% | 79.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2450 | 47% | -753 | -3.1% | 83.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 144 | 49% | -1000 | -16.6% | 100% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2450 | 47% | -1410 | -3.6% | 137.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2450 | 47% | -2981 | -4.5% | 249.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2450 | 47% | -3920 | -6.3% | 368.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 144, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | Β±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.05.26 | Acend β KOLESIE | Acend | 1.89 | 248 | lost | -248 | 0 |
| 21.05.26 | Passion UA β Betclic | Passion UA | 1.95 | 640 | lost | -640 | 248 |
| 21.05.26 | Passion UA β Rebels | Passion UA | 1.95 | 320 | lost | -320 | 888 |
| 21.05.26 | Passion UA β Metizport | Passion UA | 1.89 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1208 |
| 21.05.26 | Acend β CHAOS | CHAOS | 2.10 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1368 |
| 21.05.26 | HAVU β CHAOS | CHAOS | 2.02 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1448 |
| 21.05.26 | CHAOS β Inner Circle | CHAOS | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1488 |
| 21.05.26 | CHAOS β KOLESIE | CHAOS | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1508 |
| 21.05.26 | ALGO β EAC | ALGO | 1.90 | 10 | won | +9 | 1518 |
| 21.05.26 | 1win β Nuclear TigeRES | 1win | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1509 |
| 21.05.26 | PsychoFace β Ursa | PsychoFace | 1.89 | 80 | won | +71 | 1499 |
| 21.05.26 | BC.Game β paiN | BC.Game | 1.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1428 |
| 21.05.26 | Lynn Vision β Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1468 |
| 21.05.26 | NRG β MOUZ | NRG | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1488 |
| 21.05.26 | VEXA β Red Feet | VEXA | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1498 |
| 20.05.26 | ex-KRΓ β GUARA | ex-KRΓ | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1487 |
| 20.05.26 | ALGO β HEROIC Academy | HEROIC Academy | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1477 |
| 20.05.26 | Walczaki β Tricked | Tricked | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1468 |
| 20.05.26 | fnatic β Oramond | Oramond | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1458 |
| 20.05.26 | MIBR Academy β R2 | MIBR Academy | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1448 |
| 20.05.26 | Hashiras β Bebop | Hashiras | 1.89 | 80 | won | +71 | 1439 |
| 20.05.26 | ASTRAL β Project 91 | Project 91 | 1.95 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1368 |
| 20.05.26 | Legacy β TYLOO | TYLOO | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1408 |
| 20.05.26 | SPARTA β GenOne | SPARTA | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1428 |
| 20.05.26 | Lavked β ex-Zero Tenacity | Lavked | 1.89 | 80 | won | +71 | 1438 |
| 20.05.26 | Falcons β M80 | M80 | 2.02 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1366 |
| 20.05.26 | Kinoa β BIG Academy | Kinoa | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1406 |
| 20.05.26 | The MongolZ β B8 | The MongolZ | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1426 |
| 20.05.26 | AM β Falcons Force | AM | 1.95 | 160 | won | +152 | 1436 |
| 20.05.26 | Young Ninjas β Misa | Young Ninjas | 1.89 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1285 |
| 20.05.26 | MIBR β PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 1.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1365 |
| 20.05.26 | Falcons β BC.Game | BC.Game | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1405 |
| 20.05.26 | Legacy β NRG | NRG | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1425 |
| 20.05.26 | MOUZ β TYLOO | TYLOO | 2.03 | 20 | won | +21 | 1435 |
| 20.05.26 | B8 β Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1414 |
| 20.05.26 | The MongolZ β Lynn Vision | The MongolZ | 2.03 | 40 | won | +41 | 1424 |
| 20.05.26 | PARIVISION β Liquid | Liquid | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1383 |
| 20.05.26 | 3DMAX β MIBR | 3DMAX | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1403 |
| 20.05.26 | MIBR Academy β Procyon | Procyon | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1413 |
| 19.05.26 | ex-KRΓ β paiN Academy | ex-KRΓ | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1394 |
| 19.05.26 | FOKUS β Oxuji | FOKUS | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1404 |
| 19.05.26 | fnatic β Falcons Force | fnatic | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1395 |
| 19.05.26 | Ursa β ALGO | Ursa | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1386 |
| 19.05.26 | R2 β METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 1.96 | 10 | won | +10 | 1375 |
| 19.05.26 | Oramond β Lavked | Oramond | 1.89 | 10 | won | +9 | 1366 |
| 19.05.26 | ASTRAL β CYBERSHOKE Prospects | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.95 | 20 | won | +19 | 1357 |
| 19.05.26 | 100 Thieves β Nuclear TigeRES | 100 Thieves | 1.89 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1338 |
| 19.05.26 | Phantom β TNC | Phantom | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1348 |
| 19.05.26 | HOTU β Sashi | HOTU | 1.95 | 40 | won | +38 | 1338 |
| 19.05.26 | Bebop β Misa | Misa | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1300 |
| 19.05.26 | AM β BRUTE | AM | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1320 |
| 19.05.26 | PsychoFace β HEROIC Academy | PsychoFace | 1.95 | 10 | won | +10 | 1330 |
| 19.05.26 | Eternal Fire β Rune Eaters | Eternal Fire | 1.89 | 20 | won | +18 | 1321 |
| 19.05.26 | Hashiras β Young Ninjas | Young Ninjas | 1.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1303 |
| 19.05.26 | ex-RUBY β GenOne | ex-RUBY | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1313 |
| 19.05.26 | Nemiga β TDK | Nemiga | 1.95 | 40 | won | +38 | 1303 |
| 19.05.26 | VEXA β UNO MILLE | VEXA | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1264 |
| 19.05.26 | HereWeGoAgain β Red Feet | HereWeGoAgain | 1.95 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1284 |
| 18.05.26 | Galorys β paiN Academy | Galorys | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1294 |
| 18.05.26 | VEXA β Blitzkrieg | VEXA | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1284 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.