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Always the favorite

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+14040u
ROI
+4.5%
win rate
95%
bets
4992
drawdown
13.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+370u
period 24profit withdrawn+427u
period 23profit withdrawn+412u
period 22profit withdrawn+219u
period 21profit withdrawn+219u
period 20profit withdrawn+501u
period 19profit withdrawn+970u
period 18profit withdrawn+415u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll499295%+35782+4.5%24.3%Select
5% of bankroll499295%+14040+4.5%13.4%Selected
2% of bankroll499295%+4887+4.5%7.7%Select
Quarter Kelly9672%+4053+74%6.6%Select
1% of bankroll499295%+2335+4.5%4.7%Select
Martingale499295%+2308+4.4%5.3%Select
Flat (10 units)499295%+2233+4.5%4.2%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4992, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0268won+115040
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0168won+115039
20.08.261w Team – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0168won+115038
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0168won+115037
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.0168won+115037
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Spirit1.0168won+115036
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0568won+315035
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0168won+115032
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1767won+1115031
15.08.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.8571lost-7115020
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingTeam Liquid1.1271won+815091
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.4569won+3115082
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0169won+115051
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingLGD Gaming1.0169won+115050
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0369won+215050
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0169won+115048
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0169won+115047
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1568won+1015046
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0168won+115036
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0268won+115035
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0168won+115034
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamOG1.0168won+115033
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0168won+115033
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.1568won+1015032
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamXtreme Gaming1.0168won+115022
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Spirit1.0367won+215021
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0467won+315019
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGTeam Resilience1.3066won+2015016
14.08.261w Team – Team Falcons1w Team1.1066won+714997
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0566won+314990
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0166won+114987
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingTeam Spirit1.2265won+1414986
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.2264won+1414972
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1764won+1114958
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0264won+114947
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONTeam Falcons1.8067lost-6714945
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1267won+815013
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.0667won+415005
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w TeamBETBOOM Team1.2066won+1315001
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamTeam Yandex1.0166won+114987
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingTeam Spirit1.0166won+114987
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0266won+114986
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0166won+114985
13.08.261w Team – Nigma Galaxy1w Team1.0166won+114984
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGBETBOOM Team1.3565won+2314983
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.2064won+1314961
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0664won+414948
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2263won+1414944
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0163won+114930
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0163won+114930
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyLevel UP1.1762won+1114929
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0162won+114918
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkTeam Spirit Academy1.0162won+114918
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0362won+214917
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0162won+114915
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2561won+1514915
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPLevel UP1.0161won+114899
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseRune Eaters Arise1.0161won+114899
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0161won+114898
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZMOUZ1.0861won+514898
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.