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Always the favorite

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+2324u
ROI
+4.4%
win rate
95%
bets
4993
drawdown
5.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

Martingale

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+79u
period 24profit withdrawn+68u
period 23profit withdrawn+69u
period 22profit withdrawn+33u
period 21profit withdrawn+50u
period 20profit withdrawn+89u
period 19profit withdrawn+146u
period 18profit withdrawn+84u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll499395%+35947+4.5%24.3%Select
5% of bankroll499395%+14102+4.5%13.4%Select
2% of bankroll499395%+4908+4.5%7.7%Select
Quarter Kelly9672%+4053+74%6.6%Select
1% of bankroll499395%+2345+4.5%4.7%Select
Martingale499395%+2324+4.4%5.3%Selected
Flat (10 units)499395%+2242+4.5%4.2%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4993, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Team FalconsNigma Galaxy1.9010won+93324
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0210won+03315
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0110won+03315
20.08.261w Team – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0110won+03315
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+03315
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.0110won+03315
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Spirit1.0110won+03315
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0510won+13315
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0110won+03314
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1720won+33314
15.08.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.8510lost-103311
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingTeam Liquid1.1210won+13321
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.4510won+43319
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0110won+03315
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingLGD Gaming1.0110won+03315
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+03315
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0110won+03314
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0110won+03314
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1510won+13314
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0110won+03313
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0210won+03313
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+03312
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamOG1.0110won+03312
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0110won+03312
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.1510won+13312
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamXtreme Gaming1.0110won+03311
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Spirit1.0310won+03311
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0410won+03310
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGTeam Resilience1.3010won+33310
14.08.261w Team – Team Falcons1w Team1.1010won+13307
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0510won+13306
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0110won+03305
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingTeam Spirit1.2210won+23305
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.2210won+23303
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0210won+03301
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1720won+33301
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONTeam Falcons1.8010lost-103297
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1210won+13307
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.0610won+13306
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w TeamBETBOOM Team1.2010won+23305
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamTeam Yandex1.0110won+03303
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingTeam Spirit1.0110won+03303
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0210won+03303
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0110won+03303
13.08.261w Team – Nigma Galaxy1w Team1.0110won+03303
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGBETBOOM Team1.3510won+43303
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.2010won+23299
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0610won+13297
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2210won+23297
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0110won+03295
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+03294
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyLevel UP1.1710won+23294
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0110won+03293
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkTeam Spirit Academy1.0110won+03293
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0310won+03292
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0110won+03292
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2510won+23292
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPLevel UP1.0110won+03290
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseRune Eaters Arise1.0110won+03289
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+03289
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.