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Always the favorite

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+258u
ROI
+9.8%
win rate
62%
bets
261
drawdown
7.9%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the favorite

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+45u
period 2profit withdrawn+28u
period 1profit withdrawn+184u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll26162%+3810+14.3%27.1%Select
5% of bankroll26162%+1477+11.1%20.7%Select
2% of bankroll26162%+531+10.1%13.2%Select
1% of bankroll26162%+258+9.8%7.9%Select
Flat (10 units)26162%+251+9.6%8.1%Select
Martingale5366%-777-46.2%82.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 261, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26CyberHero – KalmychataKalmychata1.8410won+91258
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersTeam Resilience1.6110won+61249
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx1.4010won+41243
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE Teamzxcursed Team1.8810lost-101239
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceShadow Dance1.8310won+91249
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataKalmychata1.5310won+51241
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.5110won+51235
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamStariy_bog Team1.8810lost-101230
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine1.5410won+61240
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStariy_bog Team1.8810lost-101235
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsDawn Bulls1.3510lost-101245
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceShadow Dance1.8811lost-111256
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQPower Rangers1.8210won+91266
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyDawn Bulls1.5410won+61258
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.7610lost-101252
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingCloud Rising1.8311lost-111262
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8211lost-111273
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingHULIGANI1.7711won+81284
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Rising1.8211won+91276
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityTeam Lynx1.6510won+71267
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsDawn Bulls1.7010won+71260
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamBy_Owl Team1.8211lost-111253
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8910won+91263
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.7810won+81254
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 1111111.5010lost-101246
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampCyberHero1.6410won+71257
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONTeam Spirit1.7010won+71250
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthNew Growth1.7710lost-101243
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.8311lost-111253
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Yandex1.8310won+91264
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.8711lost-111255
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w TeamPARIVISION1.8510won+91266
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingTeam Spirit1.6810won+71257
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.5910won+61250
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbIBlasterbI1.8810lost-101243
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w TeamAurora Gaming1.8610won+91254
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbIBlasterbI1.8510won+91245
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingTeam Yandex1.6910won+71236
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbIBlasterbI1.8910won+91229
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONTeam Synapse1.8510lost-101220
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroCyberHero1.6610won+71231
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIYellow Submarine1.6410lost-101224
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZLEGION1.6610won+71234
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine1.6510lost-101227
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingBlasterbI1.5710won+61238
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroCyberHero1.7210won+71232
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingMOUZ1.7710won+81225
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+91217
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroYellow Submarine1.6310won+61208
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANITeam Synapse1.7110won+71202
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.7510lost-101195
03.10.261w Team – OGOG1.8810lost-101205
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamDaxak Team1.6610lost-101215
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionLGD Gaming1.8610won+91225
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.7610lost-101216
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamCake Team1.8110won+81226
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8710lost-101218
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidGamerLegion1.7610won+81228
02.10.261w Team – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis1.7610lost-101221
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.8510lost-101231
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.