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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+22015u
ROI
+3.3%
win rate
97%
bets
4687
drawdown
19.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+963u
period 24profit withdrawn+642u
period 23profit withdrawn+545u
period 22profit withdrawn+525u
period 21profit withdrawn+417u
period 20profit withdrawn+960u
period 19profit withdrawn+1317u
period 18profit withdrawn+586u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll468797%+22015+3.3%19.3%Selected
5% of bankroll468797%+9391+3.4%14.8%Select
2% of bankroll468797%+3420+3.4%8.8%Select
1% of bankroll468797%+1658+3.4%5.2%Select
Martingale468797%+1650+3.4%6.4%Select
Flat (10 units)468797%+1608+3.4%5.1%Select
Quarter Kelly1979%+50+6.3%14.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4687, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.02196won+423015
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.01196won+223011
20.08.261w Team – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.01195won+223010
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01195won+223008
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.01195won+223006
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Spirit1.01195won+223004
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.05194won+1023002
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.01194won+222992
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.17191won+3222990
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingTeam Liquid1.12188won+2322958
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.45180won+8122935
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.01180won+222854
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingLGD Gaming1.01180won+222852
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03179won+522850
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.01179won+222845
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.01179won+222843
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.15176won+2622841
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.01176won+222815
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.02176won+422813
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01176won+222810
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamOG1.01175won+222808
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.01175won+222806
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.15173won+2622804
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamXtreme Gaming1.01172won+222779
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Spirit1.03172won+522777
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.04171won+722772
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGTeam Resilience1.30166won+5022765
14.08.261w Team – Team Falcons1w Team1.10165won+1622715
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.05164won+822699
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.01164won+222690
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingTeam Spirit1.22160won+3522689
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.22157won+3422653
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.17154won+2622619
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.02154won+322593
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.12152won+1822590
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.06151won+922572
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w TeamBETBOOM Team1.20148won+3022562
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamTeam Yandex1.01148won+122533
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingTeam Spirit1.01148won+122531
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.02147won+322530
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.01147won+122527
13.08.261w Team – Nigma Galaxy1w Team1.01147won+122526
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGBETBOOM Team1.35142won+5022524
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.20139won+2822474
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.06139won+822446
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.22136won+3022438
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.01135won+122408
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01135won+122407
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyLevel UP1.17133won+2322406
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.01133won+122383
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkTeam Spirit Academy1.01133won+122382
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.03132won+422380
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.01132won+122376
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.25129won+3222375
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPLevel UP1.01129won+122343
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseRune Eaters Arise1.01129won+122341
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01129won+122340
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZMOUZ1.08128won+1022339
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports1.10142lost-14222329
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.01142won+122470
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.