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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+3420u
ROI
+3.4%
win rate
97%
bets
4687
drawdown
8.8%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+147u
period 24profit withdrawn+107u
period 23profit withdrawn+101u
period 22profit withdrawn+103u
period 21profit withdrawn+79u
period 20profit withdrawn+149u
period 19profit withdrawn+189u
period 18profit withdrawn+105u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll468797%+22015+3.3%19.3%Select
5% of bankroll468797%+9391+3.4%14.8%Select
2% of bankroll468797%+3420+3.4%8.8%Selected
1% of bankroll468797%+1658+3.4%5.2%Select
Martingale468797%+1656+3.4%6.4%Select
Flat (10 units)468797%+1608+3.4%5.1%Select
Quarter Kelly1979%+50+6.3%14.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4687, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0223won+04420
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0123won+04420
20.08.261w Team – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0123won+04420
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0123won+04419
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.0123won+04419
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Spirit1.0123won+04419
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0523won+14419
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0123won+04418
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1723won+44417
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingTeam Liquid1.1223won+34414
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.4523won+104411
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0123won+04401
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingLGD Gaming1.0123won+04400
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0323won+14400
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0123won+04400
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0123won+04399
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1522won+34399
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0122won+04396
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0222won+04396
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0122won+04395
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamOG1.0122won+04395
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0122won+04395
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.1522won+34394
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamXtreme Gaming1.0122won+04391
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Spirit1.0322won+14391
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0422won+14390
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGTeam Resilience1.3022won+74389
14.08.261w Team – Team Falcons1w Team1.1022won+24383
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0522won+14380
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0122won+04379
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingTeam Spirit1.2222won+54379
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.2222won+54374
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0222won+04369
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1722won+44369
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1222won+34365
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.0622won+14363
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w TeamBETBOOM Team1.2022won+44361
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamTeam Yandex1.0122won+04357
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingTeam Spirit1.0122won+04357
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0222won+04357
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0122won+04356
13.08.261w Team – Nigma Galaxy1w Team1.0122won+04356
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGBETBOOM Team1.3521won+84356
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.2021won+44348
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0621won+14344
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2221won+54343
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0121won+04338
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0121won+04338
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyLevel UP1.1721won+44338
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0121won+04334
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkTeam Spirit Academy1.0121won+04334
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0321won+14333
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0121won+04333
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2521won+54333
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPLevel UP1.0121won+04327
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseRune Eaters Arise1.0121won+04327
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0121won+04327
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZMOUZ1.0821won+24327
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports1.1021lost-214325
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0121won+04347
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.