Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+50u
ROI
+6.3%
win rate
79%
bets
19
drawdown
14.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Quarter Kelly
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+4u
period 24profit withdrawn+25u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22top-up-134u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20top-up-3u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+15u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 4687 | 97% | +22015 | +3.3% | 19.3% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 4687 | 97% | +9391 | +3.4% | 14.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 4687 | 97% | +3420 | +3.4% | 8.8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 4687 | 97% | +1658 | +3.4% | 5.2% | Select |
| Martingale | 4687 | 97% | +1650 | +3.4% | 6.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 4687 | 97% | +1608 | +3.4% | 5.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 19 | 79% | +50 | +6.3% | 14.4% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 19, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – OG | BETBOOM Team | 1.35 | 13 | won | +4 | 1050 |
| 25.07.26 | Yellow Submarine – Nemiga Gaming | Yellow Submarine | 1.50 | 51 | won | +25 | 1045 |
| 29.05.26 | Tundra Esports – GLYPH | Tundra Esports | 1.45 | 63 | won | +28 | 1020 |
| 27.05.26 | LGD Gaming – Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 1.28 | 67 | lost | -67 | 992 |
| 26.05.26 | BETBOOM Team – LGD Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 1.40 | 101 | lost | -101 | 1058 |
| 26.05.26 | PARIVISION – OG | PARIVISION | 1.22 | 24 | won | +5 | 1159 |
| 08.03.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Nemesis | Xtreme Gaming | 1.32 | 3 | won | +1 | 1153 |
| 07.03.26 | OG – Vici Gaming | OG | 1.42 | 4 | lost | -4 | 1152 |
| 30.01.26 | Power Rangers – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 1.42 | 36 | won | +15 | 1156 |
| 07.11.25 | Most Wanted – Team Tidebound | Team Tidebound | 1.45 | 14 | won | +6 | 1141 |
| 06.11.25 | Team Tidebound – eSpoiled | Team Tidebound | 1.42 | 49 | won | +21 | 1134 |
| 30.09.25 | Team Lynx – Kalmychata | Kalmychata | 1.45 | 1 | won | +1 | 1114 |
| 19.09.25 | eSpoiled – Kalmychata | Kalmychata | 1.30 | 26 | lost | -26 | 1113 |
| 08.07.25 | PARIVISION – Heroic | PARIVISION | 1.32 | 92 | won | +29 | 1139 |
| 21.05.25 | PARIVISION – AVULUS | PARIVISION | 1.32 | 46 | won | +15 | 1110 |
| 06.05.25 | PARIVISION – Aurora Gaming | PARIVISION | 1.50 | 76 | won | +38 | 1095 |
| 18.01.25 | Tundra Esports – Team Secret | Tundra Esports | 1.48 | 23 | won | +11 | 1057 |
| 12.12.24 | Natus Vincere Junior – AnimeVesta | Natus Vincere Junior | 1.48 | 5 | won | +3 | 1046 |
| 27.11.24 | OG – Team Falcons | Team Falcons | 1.50 | 86 | won | +43 | 1043 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.