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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+9391u
ROI
+3.4%
win rate
97%
bets
4687
drawdown
14.8%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+405u
period 24profit withdrawn+287u
period 23profit withdrawn+261u
period 22profit withdrawn+262u
period 21profit withdrawn+203u
period 20profit withdrawn+410u
period 19profit withdrawn+535u
period 18profit withdrawn+275u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll468797%+22015+3.3%19.3%Select
5% of bankroll468797%+9391+3.4%14.8%Selected
2% of bankroll468797%+3420+3.4%8.8%Select
1% of bankroll468797%+1658+3.4%5.2%Select
Martingale468797%+1650+3.4%6.4%Select
Flat (10 units)468797%+1608+3.4%5.1%Select
Quarter Kelly1979%+50+6.3%14.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4687, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0270won+110391
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0170won+110389
20.08.261w Team – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0170won+110388
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0170won+110388
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.0170won+110387
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Spirit1.0170won+110386
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0570won+310386
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0170won+110382
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1769won+1210381
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingTeam Liquid1.1269won+810370
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.4567won+3010361
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0167won+110331
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingLGD Gaming1.0167won+110331
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0367won+210330
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0167won+110328
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0167won+110327
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1567won+1010326
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0167won+110316
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0266won+110316
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0166won+110315
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamOG1.0166won+110314
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0166won+110313
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.1566won+1010313
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamXtreme Gaming1.0166won+110303
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Spirit1.0366won+210302
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0466won+310300
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGTeam Resilience1.3065won+1910297
14.08.261w Team – Team Falcons1w Team1.1064won+610278
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0564won+310272
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0164won+110268
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingTeam Spirit1.2263won+1410268
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.2263won+1410254
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1762won+1110240
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0262won+110229
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1262won+710228
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.0662won+410221
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w TeamBETBOOM Team1.2061won+1210217
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamTeam Yandex1.0161won+110205
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingTeam Spirit1.0161won+110204
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0261won+110204
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0161won+110202
13.08.261w Team – Nigma Galaxy1w Team1.0161won+110202
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGBETBOOM Team1.3560won+2110201
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.2059won+1210180
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0659won+410168
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2258won+1310165
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0158won+110152
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0158won+110151
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyLevel UP1.1758won+1010151
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0158won+110141
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkTeam Spirit Academy1.0158won+110140
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0358won+210140
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0158won+110138
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2557won+1410138
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPLevel UP1.0157won+110123
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseRune Eaters Arise1.0157won+110123
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0157won+110122
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZMOUZ1.0857won+510122
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports1.1060lost-6010117
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0160won+110177
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.