Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-786u
ROI
-37.6%
win rate
47%
bets
53
drawdown
83.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+214u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 53 | 47% | -786 | -37.6% | 83.5% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 2113 | 41% | -1809 | -8.6% | 176.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 3606 | 40% | -2388 | -8.9% | 232.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 3606 | 40% | -3465 | -8.4% | 323.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 3606 | 40% | -4481 | -7.9% | 381.2% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 3606 | 40% | -5704 | -10.1% | 434.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 53, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.05.26 | Last Bullet – BMZ | BMZ | 2.01 | 449 | lost | -449 | 214 |
| 02.05.26 | Voca – Wildcard | Voca | 2.38 | 320 | lost | -320 | 663 |
| 02.05.26 | SAW – G2 Ares | SAW | 2.11 | 160 | lost | -160 | 983 |
| 01.05.26 | Wildcard – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.34 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1143 |
| 01.05.26 | INFINITE – dJ uNT frIENDS | dJ uNT frIENDS | 2.19 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1223 |
| 01.05.26 | Nemesis – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1263 |
| 01.05.26 | HEROIC Academy – ASTRAL | HEROIC Academy | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1283 |
| 01.05.26 | fnatic – Lavked | fnatic | 2.15 | 20 | won | +23 | 1293 |
| 01.05.26 | Imperial – Fake do Biru | Fake do Biru | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1270 |
| 01.05.26 | Isurus – Yawara | Yawara | 2.10 | 20 | won | +22 | 1280 |
| 01.05.26 | Nas – Legion | Legion | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1258 |
| 01.05.26 | Lavked – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1268 |
| 01.05.26 | UNiTY – TNC | TNC | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1256 |
| 01.05.26 | STATE – Ursa | Ursa | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1245 |
| 01.05.26 | Last Bullet – Alter Ego | Alter Ego | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1234 |
| 01.05.26 | ZEVS – Rooster | Rooster | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1224 |
| 01.05.26 | BOSS – Aether | BOSS | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1204 |
| 30.04.26 | ALGO – TNC | TNC | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1214 |
| 30.04.26 | Lavked – RBLS | RBLS | 2.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1193 |
| 30.04.26 | Just Swing – Alter Ego | Alter Ego | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1203 |
| 30.04.26 | Walczaki – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1183 |
| 30.04.26 | Rooster – WYDO | Rooster | 2.02 | 80 | won | +82 | 1193 |
| 30.04.26 | GameHunters – ALZON | GameHunters | 2.02 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1111 |
| 30.04.26 | Walczaki – Bebop | Bebop | 2.07 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1151 |
| 30.04.26 | Wildcard – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1171 |
| 30.04.26 | Voca – Zomblers | Voca | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1181 |
| 29.04.26 | Gentle Mates – ASTRAL | Gentle Mates | 2.11 | 40 | won | +44 | 1171 |
| 29.04.26 | Hashiras – Lavked | Hashiras | 2.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1127 |
| 29.04.26 | KOLESIE – Walczaki | KOLESIE | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1147 |
| 29.04.26 | Nemiga – Eternal Fire | Eternal Fire | 2.19 | 20 | won | +24 | 1157 |
| 29.04.26 | Isurus – HereWeGoAgain | HereWeGoAgain | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1133 |
| 29.04.26 | Ding Cuts – low cortisol | Ding Cuts | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1143 |
| 29.04.26 | Fisher College – Aether | Fisher College | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1133 |
| 29.04.26 | FarmVille – Aether | Aether | 2.01 | 20 | won | +20 | 1122 |
| 28.04.26 | Chicken Coop – ex-Marsborne | ex-Marsborne | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1102 |
| 28.04.26 | Walczaki – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1112 |
| 28.04.26 | Young Ninjas – UNiTY | Young Ninjas | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1101 |
| 28.04.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Hashiras | Hashiras | 2.11 | 160 | won | +178 | 1091 |
| 28.04.26 | Walczaki – Tricked | Tricked | 2.01 | 80 | lost | -80 | 913 |
| 28.04.26 | Lavked – aAa | aAa | 2.10 | 40 | lost | -40 | 993 |
| 28.04.26 | STATE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 2.10 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1033 |
| 28.04.26 | Wildcard – Aether | Aether | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1053 |
| 28.04.26 | Voca – Chicken Coop | Voca | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1063 |
| 27.04.26 | Walczaki – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1053 |
| 27.04.26 | STATE – Lilmix | Lilmix | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1042 |
| 27.04.26 | Wildcard – Wanted Goons | Wanted Goons | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1022 |
| 27.04.26 | Voca – Surge | Voca | 2.02 | 40 | won | +41 | 1032 |
| 27.04.26 | FarmVille – insane players | insane players | 2.03 | 20 | lost | -20 | 991 |
| 26.04.26 | Fisher College – Wildcard | Fisher College | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1011 |
| 26.04.26 | RUSTEC – Phantom | Phantom | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1021 |
| 26.04.26 | M80 – Marsborne | M80 | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1001 |
| 26.04.26 | LAG – EMPIRE | LAG | 2.03 | 20 | won | +21 | 1011 |
| 26.04.26 | Marsborne – Voca | Voca | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.