Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-347u
ROI
-1.5%
win rate
45%
bets
1328
drawdown
65%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
2% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-707u
period 3profit withdrawn+15u
period 2top-up-237u
period 1profit withdrawn+583u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1328 | 45% | -20 | -0% | 82.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1328 | 45% | -249 | -2% | 47.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1328 | 45% | -263 | -0.5% | 76.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1328 | 45% | -347 | -1.5% | 65% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 1328 | 45% | -354 | -2.7% | 56.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 92 | 51% | -1000 | -26.7% | 100% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1328, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 6 | won | +8 | 653 |
| 20.08.26 | FaZe – Vitality | Vitality | 2.15 | 6 | won | +6 | 645 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 6 | lost | -6 | 638 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 6 | lost | -6 | 644 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 6 | won | +6 | 650 |
| 20.08.26 | Falcons – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 2.49 | 6 | lost | -6 | 644 |
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.17 | 6 | lost | -6 | 650 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Raccoons | 2.35 | 6 | lost | -6 | 656 |
| 19.08.26 | GamerLegion – MOUZ | GamerLegion | 2.41 | 6 | lost | -6 | 662 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 6 | won | +6 | 668 |
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Honvéd | 2.81 | 6 | won | +11 | 662 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.02 | 6 | won | +6 | 651 |
| 19.08.26 | EAC – Color | Color | 2.01 | 6 | won | +6 | 645 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRIT | Drip Too Hard | 2.16 | 6 | lost | -6 | 640 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 6 | lost | -6 | 646 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 6 | lost | -6 | 651 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 6 | won | +7 | 657 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Black Phoenix | 2.78 | 6 | won | +10 | 650 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 5 | won | +6 | 641 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 5 | won | +6 | 634 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 5 | lost | -5 | 628 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Mai Tai | 2.57 | 6 | lost | -6 | 633 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 6 | lost | -6 | 639 |
| 19.08.26 | Entropy – Fire Flux | Entropy | 2.16 | 6 | lost | -6 | 644 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 6 | lost | -6 | 650 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | 656 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Endless Journey | 2.73 | 6 | lost | -6 | 662 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 6 | lost | -6 | 668 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Misa | 2.09 | 6 | won | +7 | 675 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 6 | lost | -6 | 668 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 6 | won | +7 | 674 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – Permitta | Fortress | 2.43 | 6 | lost | -6 | 668 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 6 | won | +10 | 674 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 6 | lost | -6 | 664 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexar | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.01 | 6 | won | +6 | 670 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 6 | lost | -6 | 664 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 6 | lost | -6 | 670 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.07 | 6 | lost | -6 | 676 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 7 | lost | -7 | 683 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 6 | won | +8 | 689 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.13 | 7 | lost | -7 | 681 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 7 | lost | -7 | 688 |
| 18.08.26 | Bebop – benched gods | Bebop | 2.05 | 7 | lost | -7 | 694 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.01 | 7 | lost | -7 | 701 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 7 | won | +10 | 708 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 7 | lost | -7 | 698 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 7 | lost | -7 | 705 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | HAVU | 2.66 | 7 | won | +11 | 712 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 7 | lost | -7 | 701 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.85 | 7 | lost | -7 | 708 |
| 17.08.26 | mellren – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.15 | 7 | lost | -7 | 715 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 7 | won | +7 | 722 |
| 17.08.26 | LPH – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.23 | 7 | lost | -7 | 715 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.19 | 7 | lost | -7 | 722 |
| 17.08.26 | NEW VISION – Vexar | NEW VISION | 2.10 | 8 | lost | -8 | 730 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 8 | lost | -8 | 737 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods – Phantom Academy | benched gods | 2.03 | 8 | won | +8 | 745 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 8 | lost | -8 | 737 |
| 17.08.26 | paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIA | paiN Academy | 2.16 | 8 | lost | -8 | 745 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | Lavked | 2.70 | 8 | won | +13 | 753 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.