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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-3468u
ROI
-8.4%
win rate
40%
bets
3609
drawdown
323.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-769u
period 6top-up-867u
period 5top-up-902u
period 4profit withdrawn+382u
period 3top-up-538u
period 2top-up-784u
period 1profit withdrawn+10u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale5347%-786-37.6%83.5%Select
Flat (10 units)211341%-1809-8.6%176.7%Select
1% of bankroll360940%-2391-8.9%232.1%Select
2% of bankroll360940%-3468-8.4%323.6%Selected
5% of bankroll360940%-4482-8%381.2%Select
10% of bankroll360940%-5704-10.2%434.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 3609, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.575lost-5-2468
14.10.26ex-RUSTEC – mellrenmellren2.025lost-5-2463
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.425lost-5-2459
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.195lost-5-2454
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.675won+8-2449
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.055won+5-2457
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.415won+7-2462
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.215lost-5-2468
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.095won+5-2464
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.785lost-5-2469
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.015lost-5-2464
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.295won+6-2459
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.115lost-5-2465
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.905lost-5-2460
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.455lost-5-2455
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.045lost-5-2450
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.165lost-5-2445
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.305lost-5-2440
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.045won+5-2435
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.115lost-5-2440
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.105lost-5-2435
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.245won+7-2430
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.125won+6-2436
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.265lost-5-2442
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.185lost-5-2437
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.355lost-5-2431
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.016lost-6-2426
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.696lost-6-2420
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.716won+9-2415
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.096lost-6-2424
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.686lost-6-2418
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.186won+7-2413
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.186lost-6-2419
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.456lost-6-2413
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.046lost-6-2408
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.076won+6-2402
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.026won+6-2408
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.546lost-6-2414
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.046lost-6-2408
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.066won+6-2402
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.186lost-6-2408
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.616lost-6-2402
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.096lost-6-2396
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.126won+13-2390
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.406lost-6-2403
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.646lost-6-2396
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.206won+7-2390
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.456won+9-2397
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.526lost-6-2406
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersNordic Partners2.696won+10-2400
11.10.26Imperial – NRGNRG3.046lost-6-2410
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.906lost-6-2404
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.316lost-6-2398
11.10.26Kaleido – Chinggis WarriorsKaleido2.506lost-6-2392
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.546won+9-2385
11.10.26Fire Flux – GothicGothic2.596lost-6-2395
11.10.26megoshort – Noir Versemegoshort2.126won+7-2389
11.10.265star – Chinggis Warriors5star2.026lost-6-2395
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.556lost-6-2389
11.10.26FlyQuest – AbyssalAbyssal2.526lost-6-2383
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.