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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-92u
ROI
-0.2%
win rate
45%
bets
1322
drawdown
72.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-968u
period 3top-up-289u
period 2top-up-567u
period 1profit withdrawn+1731u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll132245%+339+0.4%79.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
5% of bankroll132245%-92-0.2%72.9%Selected
1% of bankroll132245%-218-1.8%45.2%Select
2% of bankroll132245%-281-1.2%61.4%Select
Flat (10 units)132245%-328-2.5%53.6%Select
Martingale9052%-1000-29.7%100%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1322, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26LPH – WBTLPH2.002lost-2908
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityVitality2.142won+2910
20.08.26B8 – SpiritB82.382lost-2908
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsbenched gods2.022won+2910
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.172lost-2908
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZThe MongolZ2.492lost-2910
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsRaccoons2.352lost-2911
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZGamerLegion2.412lost-2913
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA2.022won+2915
19.08.26Honvéd – Bushido WildcatsHonvéd2.812won+3913
19.08.26Permitta – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.022won+2910
19.08.26EAC – ColorColor2.012won+2909
19.08.26Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRITDrip Too Hard2.152lost-2907
19.08.26G2 – AstralisAstralis2.062lost-2909
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBlack Phoenix2.782won+3910
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity2.171won+2908
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseLavked2.171won+2906
19.08.26Permitta – EACPermitta2.091lost-1904
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCENoir Verse2.201won+2906
19.08.26Misa – The Last ResortMisa2.181lost-1904
19.08.26Mai Tai – HonvédMai Tai2.572lost-2905
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxEntropy2.162lost-2907
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTAMOUZ NXT2.052lost-2909
19.08.26G2 Ares – ex-Zero TenacityG2 Ares2.002lost-2910
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaPermitta2.012lost-2912
19.08.26GenOne – UNiTYUNiTY2.542lost-2914
19.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Endless JourneyEndless Journey2.792lost-2916
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraMisa2.082won+2918
18.08.26Fortress – PermittaFortress2.432lost-2916
18.08.26Omega – EntropyEntropy2.682won+3918
18.08.26DONSTU – MOUZ NXTDONSTU2.022lost-2915
18.08.26EAC – OGOG2.062won+2917
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICEntropy2.112lost-2915
18.08.26Leo – ex-RUSTECLeo2.002lost-2917
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexarex-Zero Tenacity2.012won+2919
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaMisa3.472lost-2917
18.08.26WBT – Mai TaiMai Tai3.082lost-2919
18.08.26Color – MisaMisa2.042lost-2921
18.08.26Metizport – DONSTUDONSTU2.133lost-3924
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxFire Flux2.292won+3926
18.08.26EAC – FortressFortress2.692lost-2923
18.08.26Bebop – benched godsBebop2.053lost-3926
18.08.26MASONIC – BebopBebop2.013lost-3928
18.08.26Fortress – ex-MANAFortress2.033lost-3931
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTECex-Zero Tenacity2.413won+4934
18.08.26ENCE – Mai TaiMai Tai2.463lost-3930
17.08.26Enjoy – HAVUHAVU2.663won+4933
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – PermittaPermitta2.773lost-3929
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.863lost-3932
17.08.26mellren – Noir VerseNoir Verse2.153lost-3934
17.08.26Nexus – G2 AresG2 Ares2.053won+3938
17.08.26LPH – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.233lost-3934
17.08.26Noir Verse – ex-RUSTECNoir Verse2.193lost-3938
17.08.26NEW VISION – VexarNEW VISION2.103lost-3941
17.08.26Atreides – ex-Sashi AcademyAtreides2.064lost-4944
17.08.26benched gods – Phantom Academybenched gods2.023won+4948
17.08.26ex-RUSTEC – DragonClawDragonClaw2.724lost-4944
17.08.26paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIApaiN Academy2.164lost-4948
16.08.26Lavked – INOX DivisionLavked2.703won+6952
16.08.26EAC – BASEMENT BOYSEAC2.183won+4946
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.