Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-1269u
ROI
-14.3%
win rate
63%
bets
408
drawdown
126.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6top-up-1000u
period 5profit withdrawn+76u
period 4top-up-294u
period 3top-up-10u
period 2top-up-41u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 612 | 67% | -357 | -6.1% | 40.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 612 | 67% | -366 | -6% | 42.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 612 | 67% | -696 | -6.3% | 75.8% | Select |
| Martingale | 408 | 63% | -1269 | -14.3% | 126.5% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 612 | 67% | -1624 | -6.9% | 165.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 612 | 67% | -2926 | -8% | 276.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 408, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.09.26 | Johnny Speeds – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.42 | 85 | lost | -85 | -269 |
| 22.09.26 | Rare Atom – Legion | Rare Atom | 1.50 | 160 | lost | -160 | -184 |
| 22.09.26 | mellren – KUUSAMO | mellren | 1.41 | 80 | lost | -80 | -24 |
| 22.09.26 | benched gods – Mai Tai | benched gods | 1.29 | 40 | lost | -40 | 56 |
| 22.09.26 | Virtus.pro – BBL | Virtus.pro | 1.39 | 20 | lost | -20 | 96 |
| 21.09.26 | Sashi – Sangal | Sashi | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 116 |
| 21.09.26 | Wanted Goons – Fathom | Fathom | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 126 |
| 20.09.26 | SAW Youngsters – GenOne | GenOne | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 121 |
| 20.09.26 | QUAZAR – G2 Ares | QUAZAR | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 117 |
| 20.09.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Azuolas | ex-RUSTEC | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 113 |
| 19.09.26 | GenOne – BERG | GenOne | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 108 |
| 19.09.26 | Eternal Fire – NT | Eternal Fire | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 104 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 100 |
| 19.09.26 | LP – SAW Youngsters | LP | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 91 |
| 19.09.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 101 |
| 19.09.26 | DragonClaw – Vexar | Vexar | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 96 |
| 19.09.26 | Imperial – BESTIA | Imperial | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 87 |
| 18.09.26 | LP – BERG | LP | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 97 |
| 18.09.26 | Inner Circle – EYEBALLERS | Inner Circle | 1.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 87 |
| 18.09.26 | paiN – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 97 |
| 18.09.26 | QUAZAR – NAVI Junior | QUAZAR | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 93 |
| 18.09.26 | 3DMAX – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 1.44 | 20 | won | +9 | 88 |
| 18.09.26 | EYEBALLERS – Liquid | Liquid | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 79 |
| 18.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – TrafficPills | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 89 |
| 18.09.26 | SAW Youngsters – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 85 |
| 18.09.26 | MOUZ – Natus Vincere | MOUZ | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 81 |
| 18.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | GenOne | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 76 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 71 |
| 18.09.26 | Galorys – Elementals | Galorys | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 68 |
| 17.09.26 | EHISTO BASE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 63 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – M80 | B8 | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 58 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | B8 | 1.33 | 10 | won | +3 | 53 |
| 17.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – B8 | B8 | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 50 |
| 17.09.26 | Metizport – Luminosity | Metizport | 1.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 43 |
| 17.09.26 | B8 – GamerLegion | B8 | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 53 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 49 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 45 |
| 16.09.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 40 |
| 16.09.26 | Teletubisie – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 31 |
| 16.09.26 | Marsborne – KODEX | Marsborne | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 41 |
| 15.09.26 | Nemiga – BET-M | Nemiga | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 37 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 34 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 20 | won | +6 | 30 |
| 14.09.26 | Nemiga – Color | Nemiga | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 24 |
| 14.09.26 | Nemiga – Black Phoenix | Nemiga | 1.30 | 160 | won | +49 | 34 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 80 | lost | -80 | -14 |
| 13.09.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – UPGRADE | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.38 | 40 | lost | -40 | 66 |
| 13.09.26 | Misa – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 20 | lost | -20 | 106 |
| 13.09.26 | FORZE Reload – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 126 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 136 |
| 13.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – megoshort | Bushido Wildcats | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 131 |
| 13.09.26 | BBL – HOTU | HOTU | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 126 |
| 13.09.26 | INOX Division – FORZE Reload | INOX Division | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 119 |
| 12.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Nemiga | 1.35 | 40 | won | +14 | 129 |
| 12.09.26 | benched gods – megoshort | benched gods | 1.43 | 20 | lost | -20 | 115 |
| 12.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 135 |
| 12.09.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 145 |
| 12.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Fortress | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.22 | 20 | won | +4 | 141 |
| 12.09.26 | ReThink – Misa | ReThink | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 136 |
| 12.09.26 | LAG – NuTorious | LAG | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 146 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.