Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-471u
ROI
-4.8%
win rate
64%
bets
99
drawdown
106.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+417u
period 3top-up-721u
period 2top-up-67u
period 1top-up-100u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 99 | 64% | -68 | -3.8% | 20.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 99 | 64% | -80 | -8.1% | 14.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 99 | 64% | -85 | -8.6% | 14.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 99 | 64% | -150 | -7.7% | 27.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 99 | 64% | -312 | -6.4% | 62.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 99 | 64% | -471 | -4.8% | 106.9% | Selected |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 99, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 157 | lost | -157 | 529 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 175 | lost | -175 | 686 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 167 | won | +82 | 861 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 159 | won | +79 | 779 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 152 | won | +67 | 700 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 169 | lost | -169 | 633 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 163 | won | +59 | 802 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 158 | won | +46 | 743 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 152 | won | +69 | 696 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 168 | lost | -168 | 628 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 161 | won | +70 | 796 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 155 | won | +64 | 727 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 149 | won | +66 | 663 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 165 | lost | -165 | 597 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 183 | lost | -183 | 762 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 178 | won | +56 | 946 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.47 | 170 | won | +80 | 889 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 162 | won | +73 | 809 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 155 | won | +71 | 736 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 173 | lost | -173 | 665 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | INOX Division | 1.48 | 165 | won | +79 | 838 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 157 | won | +76 | 759 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 151 | won | +57 | 683 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 168 | lost | -168 | 625 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 161 | won | +76 | 793 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Inner Circle | 1.46 | 154 | won | +70 | 717 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 147 | won | +65 | 647 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.40 | 141 | won | +56 | 582 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 135 | won | +65 | 526 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 129 | won | +60 | 461 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Virtus.pro | 1.48 | 123 | won | +59 | 401 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 119 | won | +40 | 342 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 113 | won | +56 | 302 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | GenOne | 1.38 | 109 | won | +41 | 247 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 105 | won | +40 | 205 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 102 | won | +38 | 166 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 97 | won | +46 | 128 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 93 | won | +37 | 82 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 89 | won | +42 | 45 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 85 | won | +41 | 3 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 82 | won | +31 | -38 |
| 03.08.26 | 1win – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.50 | 91 | lost | -91 | -69 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 88 | won | +30 | 22 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 98 | lost | -98 | -8 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.47 | 93 | won | +44 | 90 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 89 | won | +43 | 46 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.50 | 85 | won | +42 | 3 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 94 | lost | -94 | -39 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 105 | lost | -105 | 55 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 100 | won | +48 | 160 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 31 | lost | -31 | 112 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 34 | lost | -34 | 143 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 33 | won | +13 | 177 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.43 | 37 | lost | -37 | 164 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | HOTU | 1.50 | 35 | won | +18 | 201 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | ex-RUBY | 1.40 | 34 | won | +13 | 184 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 32 | won | +15 | 170 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | TDK | 1.44 | 36 | lost | -36 | 155 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 34 | won | +16 | 191 |
| 29.07.26 | Nemiga – TDK | TDK | 1.45 | 33 | won | +15 | 175 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.