Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-256u
ROI
-5.5%
win rate
64%
bets
94
drawdown
65.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+289u
period 3top-up-469u
period 2top-up-25u
period 1top-up-50u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 94 | 64% | -71 | -4.2% | 20% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 94 | 64% | -73 | -7.8% | 15.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 94 | 64% | -80 | -8.5% | 15.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 94 | 64% | -134 | -7.2% | 29.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 94 | 64% | -256 | -5.5% | 65.5% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 94 | 64% | -310 | -3.2% | 111.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 94, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 68 | lost | -68 | 744 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 71 | lost | -71 | 812 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 70 | won | +34 | 883 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 68 | won | +29 | 849 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 72 | lost | -72 | 820 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.30 | 71 | won | +21 | 892 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 70 | won | +25 | 871 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 68 | won | +31 | 846 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 72 | lost | -72 | 815 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 70 | won | +30 | 887 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 69 | won | +28 | 857 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 67 | won | +30 | 829 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 71 | lost | -71 | 799 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 74 | lost | -74 | 870 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 73 | won | +23 | 944 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.47 | 72 | won | +34 | 921 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 70 | won | +32 | 887 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 68 | won | +31 | 855 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | INOX Division | 1.48 | 67 | won | +32 | 824 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 65 | won | +32 | 792 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 64 | won | +24 | 759 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 63 | won | +29 | 735 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Inner Circle | 1.46 | 61 | won | +28 | 706 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 60 | won | +27 | 678 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.40 | 59 | won | +23 | 651 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 57 | won | +28 | 628 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 56 | won | +26 | 600 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Virtus.pro | 1.48 | 55 | won | +26 | 574 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 54 | won | +18 | 548 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 52 | won | +26 | 530 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | GenOne | 1.38 | 51 | won | +20 | 504 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 51 | won | +19 | 485 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 50 | won | +18 | 466 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 48 | won | +23 | 447 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 47 | won | +19 | 424 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 46 | won | +22 | 405 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 45 | won | +22 | 384 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 44 | won | +17 | 361 |
| 03.08.26 | 1win – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.50 | 47 | lost | -47 | 345 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 46 | won | +16 | 392 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 48 | lost | -48 | 376 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 47 | won | +22 | 425 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 46 | won | +22 | 402 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 49 | lost | -49 | 380 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 51 | lost | -51 | 428 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 50 | won | +24 | 480 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 28 | lost | -28 | 455 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 29 | lost | -29 | 483 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.37 | 29 | won | +11 | 513 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.43 | 30 | lost | -30 | 502 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | ex-RUBY | 1.40 | 30 | won | +12 | 533 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 29 | won | +13 | 521 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | TDK | 1.44 | 31 | lost | -31 | 507 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 30 | won | +14 | 538 |
| 29.07.26 | Nemiga – TDK | TDK | 1.45 | 29 | won | +13 | 524 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | TDK | 1.38 | 29 | won | +11 | 511 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | TDK | 1.41 | 28 | won | +12 | 500 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 30 | lost | -30 | 488 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BAKS | TDK | 1.37 | 31 | lost | -31 | 518 |
| 27.07.26 | BRUTE – LEO SE | BRUTE | 1.49 | 30 | won | +15 | 549 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.