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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
-1624u
ROI
-6.9%
win rate
67%
bets
612
drawdown
165.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-166u
period 6top-up-410u
period 5profit withdrawn+19u
period 4top-up-634u
period 3top-up-181u
period 2top-up-252u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll61267%-357-6.1%40.3%Select
Flat (10 units)61267%-366-6%42.4%Select
2% of bankroll61267%-696-6.3%75.8%Select
Martingale40863%-1269-14.3%126.5%Select
5% of bankroll61267%-1624-6.9%165.6%Selected
10% of bankroll61267%-2926-8%276.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 612, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4941won+20-624
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4643lost-43-644
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4342won+18-601
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4041won+16-619
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4540won+18-635
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4542lost-42-654
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4641won+19-611
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3441won+14-630
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5040won+20-644
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4839won+18-664
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3541lost-41-682
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4740won+19-641
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2939won+11-660
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersFOKUS1.4541lost-41-672
11.10.26Imperial – NRGImperial1.3741won+15-630
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4040won+16-645
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5042lost-42-661
11.10.26Fire Flux – GothicFire Flux1.4841won+20-619
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5040won+20-639
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4239won+16-659
11.10.26Unreal Nightmare – Without a RoofWithout a Roof1.2539won+10-675
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4138won+16-685
10.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3540lost-40-701
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4239won+16-661
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3538won+13-677
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3138won+12-690
10.10.26DENDELE – MarsborneMarsborne1.4440lost-40-702
10.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4942lost-42-662
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaNemiga1.2344lost-44-620
10.10.26mellren – Honvédmellren1.3643won+16-576
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalAbyssal1.4942won+21-592
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4541won+19-613
10.10.26BGNS Orange – Ground ZeroGround Zero1.5040won+20-631
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsFarmVille1.4742lost-42-652
10.10.26THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS OrangeTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1.4845lost-45-609
09.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – PRIVATENuclear TigeRES1.4447lost-47-564
09.10.26Sangal – G2 AresSangal1.4846won+22-517
09.10.26Lavked – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4245won+19-539
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4847lost-47-558
09.10.26Vitality – PARIVISIONVitality1.3946won+18-511
09.10.26Nemiga – GothicNemiga1.1846won+8-529
09.10.26EAC – SangalSangal1.4745won+21-538
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4544won+20-559
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4046lost-46-579
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3649lost-49-532
09.10.26METANOIA Wolves – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.4848won+23-484
08.10.26Galorys – Low Cortisol BRGalorys1.3947won+18-506
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4949lost-49-525
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5052lost-52-476
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxFire Flux1.2351won+12-424
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2650won+13-436
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4949won+24-448
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3248won+15-473
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4251lost-51-488
08.10.26Nemesis – SINNERSNemesis1.4954lost-54-437
08.10.26Nemiga – LavkedNemiga1.1553won+8-383
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3952won+20-392
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGalorys1.3955lost-55-412
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPLP1.3554won+19-357
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSTurma do Pagode1.4553won+24-376
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.