Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-72u
ROI
-4%
win rate
63%
bets
100
drawdown
20%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+82u
period 3top-up-153u
period 2profit withdrawn+8u
period 1top-up-10u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 100 | 63% | -72 | -4% | 20% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 100 | 63% | -88 | -8.9% | 15.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 100 | 63% | -95 | -9.5% | 15.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 100 | 63% | -165 | -8.4% | 29.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 100 | 63% | -336 | -6.9% | 64.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 100 | 63% | -493 | -5% | 109.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 100, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 20 | lost | -20 | 928 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 948 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 958 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 953 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 20 | won | +9 | 948 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 939 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 949 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 10 | won | +3 | 945 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 942 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 933 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 943 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 939 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 40 | won | +18 | 935 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 917 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 937 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 947 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 944 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 10 | won | +4 | 939 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 935 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 925 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | INOX Division | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 935 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 931 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 926 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 918 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 928 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Inner Circle | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 924 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 919 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 915 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 910 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 905 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Virtus.pro | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 901 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 896 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 893 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | GenOne | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 888 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 884 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 880 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 876 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 872 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 868 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 863 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 20 | won | +7 | 858 |
| 03.08.26 | 1win – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 851 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 20 | won | +7 | 861 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 854 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 864 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 859 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.50 | 40 | won | +20 | 854 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 834 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 854 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 40 | won | +19 | 864 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 20 | lost | -20 | 845 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 865 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 20 | won | +8 | 875 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 867 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | HOTU | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 877 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | ex-RUBY | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 872 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 868 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | TDK | 1.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 859 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 869 |
| 29.07.26 | MIBR – LP | LP | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 860 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.