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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-2388u
ROI
-8.9%
win rate
40%
bets
3606
drawdown
232.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-502u
period 6top-up-609u
period 5top-up-673u
period 4profit withdrawn+214u
period 3top-up-305u
period 2top-up-520u
period 1profit withdrawn+7u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale5347%-786-37.6%83.5%Select
Flat (10 units)211341%-1809-8.6%176.7%Select
1% of bankroll360640%-2388-8.9%232.1%Selected
2% of bankroll360640%-3465-8.4%323.6%Select
5% of bankroll360640%-4481-7.9%381.2%Select
10% of bankroll360640%-5704-10.1%434.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 3606, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.425lost-5-1388
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.195lost-5-1383
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.675won+8-1378
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.055won+5-1386
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.215lost-5-1391
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.095won+5-1386
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.785lost-5-1392
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.015lost-5-1387
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.295won+6-1382
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.115lost-5-1388
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.905lost-5-1383
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.455lost-5-1378
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.165lost-5-1373
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.045lost-5-1368
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.305lost-5-1363
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.045won+5-1357
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.115lost-5-1363
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.105lost-5-1357
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.245won+7-1352
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.125won+6-1359
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.185lost-5-1364
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.265lost-5-1359
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.355lost-5-1354
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.015lost-5-1348
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.695lost-5-1343
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.715won+9-1338
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.095lost-5-1347
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.686lost-6-1341
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.186lost-6-1336
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.185won+6-1330
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.456lost-6-1337
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.046lost-6-1331
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.076won+6-1326
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.025won+6-1331
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.546lost-6-1337
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.046lost-6-1332
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.066won+6-1326
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.186lost-6-1332
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.616lost-6-1326
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.096lost-6-1321
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.126won+12-1315
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.406lost-6-1327
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.206won+7-1321
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.646lost-6-1328
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.456won+8-1322
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.526lost-6-1330
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersNordic Partners2.696won+9-1324
11.10.26Imperial – NRGNRG3.046lost-6-1334
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.906lost-6-1328
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.316lost-6-1323
11.10.26Kaleido – Chinggis WarriorsKaleido2.506lost-6-1317
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.546won+9-1311
11.10.26megoshort – Noir Versemegoshort2.126won+6-1320
11.10.26Fire Flux – GothicGothic2.596lost-6-1326
11.10.265star – Chinggis Warriors5star2.026lost-6-1321
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.556lost-6-1315
11.10.26FlyQuest – AbyssalAbyssal2.526lost-6-1309
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.146won+7-1303
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.076lost-6-1310
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.146lost-6-1304
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.