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Always the underdog

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-322u
ROI
-13.4%
win rate
43%
bets
259
drawdown
39.5%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-89u
period 2top-up-253u
period 1profit withdrawn+20u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll25943%-322-13.4%39.5%Selected
Flat (10 units)25943%-351-13.6%42.4%Select
2% of bankroll25943%-589-13.3%67.6%Select
Martingale6253%-830-38.2%86.8%Select
5% of bankroll25943%-1147-12.8%112.1%Select
10% of bankroll25943%-1637-12.2%133.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 259, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.899won+8678
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.899lost-9670
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.459lost-9680
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.949lost-9689
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.529lost-9698
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamBy_Owl Team1.899won+8707
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.439lost-9699
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.139won+20709
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.899won+8689
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.909won+8681
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.439lost-9673
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.959lost-9682
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.039won+9691
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingTeam Resilience1.959won+9682
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.959won+9673
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.029lost-9664
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.959lost-9674
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.219lost-9683
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.119lost-9692
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.969won+9701
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.899won+8692
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.019lost-9684
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.559won+14694
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.229lost-9679
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.129lost-9689
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.019won+9698
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION1.959won+9689
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.959lost-9680
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.919won+8689
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w Team1w Team1.929lost-9681
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.149lost-9690
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.329lost-9699
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.899won+8709
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.919lost-9700
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbITeam Synapse1.9310lost-10710
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10719
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8910lost-10729
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9210won+9739
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-10730
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2210won+12740
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1910lost-10728
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2010won+11738
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3610lost-10726
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10736
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0310lost-10746
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9755
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2310lost-10747
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1110lost-10757
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+10767
03.10.261w Team – OG1w Team1.8910won+9756
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12748
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9210lost-10736
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0410won+10746
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamRostik Team1.9710lost-10736
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9010won+9746
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0310lost-10737
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10747
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9737
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0510lost-10728
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0610lost-10737
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.