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Always the underdog

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1637u
ROI
-12.2%
win rate
43%
bets
259
drawdown
133.1%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-707u
period 2top-up-975u
period 1profit withdrawn+45u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll25943%-322-13.4%39.5%Select
Flat (10 units)25943%-351-13.6%42.4%Select
2% of bankroll25943%-589-13.3%67.6%Select
Martingale6253%-830-38.2%86.8%Select
5% of bankroll25943%-1147-12.8%112.1%Select
10% of bankroll25943%-1637-12.2%133.1%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 259, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8933lost-33-637
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8930won+27-604
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4533lost-33-631
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.9437lost-37-598
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5241lost-41-561
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamBy_Owl Team1.8938won+33-520
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4342lost-42-553
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1334won+73-512
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8932won+28-585
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9029won+26-613
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4332lost-32-639
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9536lost-36-607
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0333won+33-571
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingTeam Resilience1.9530won+28-605
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.9527won+26-633
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0230lost-30-659
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9533lost-33-629
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2137lost-37-595
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1141lost-41-558
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9638won+36-517
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8935won+31-553
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0138lost-38-584
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5533won+52-545
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2237lost-37-597
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1241lost-41-560
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0137won+38-519
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION1.9534won+32-557
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.9538lost-38-589
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9135won+31-551
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w Team1w Team1.9239lost-39-583
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1443lost-43-544
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3248lost-48-501
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8944won+39-453
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9149lost-49-492
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbITeam Synapse1.9354lost-54-444
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1360lost-60-390
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8967lost-67-330
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9261won+56-263
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1968lost-68-319
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2260won+74-251
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1967lost-67-325
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2060won+72-258
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3667lost-67-330
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0874lost-74-263
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0382lost-82-189
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8976won+67-107
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2384lost-84-174
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1193lost-93-90
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0584won+893
03.10.261w Team – OG1w Team1.8978won+69-85
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1969won+83-154
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9277lost-77-237
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0470won+72-160
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamRostik Team1.9778lost-78-232
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9071won+64-155
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0379lost-79-219
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0372won+74-140
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9266won+60-214
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0573lost-73-274
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0681lost-81-201
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.