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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match β€” the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1000u
ROI
-95.7%
win rate
11%
bets
9
drawdown
100%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

πŸ’°
Stake size

Martingale

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Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

πŸ“Š
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale911%-1000-95.7%100%Selected
Flat (10 units)1563%-1318-84.7%131.7%Select
10% of bankroll29175%-14965-88.4%1479.3%Select
1% of bankroll49935%-19821-85.9%1977.9%Select
2% of bankroll49935%-23506-86.5%2340.7%Select
5% of bankroll49935%-24786-87.6%2456.6%Select
Quarter Kelly48334%-24965-91.8%2496.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 9, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResultΒ±BankBank
23.08.24AVULUS – Natus Vincere JuniorNatus Vincere Junior10.00385lost-3850
22.08.24nouns – Tundra Esportsnouns11.00320lost-320385
22.08.24Gaimin Gladiators – BETBOOM TeamGaimin Gladiators14.00160lost-160705
22.08.24Team Spirit – Team FalconsTeam Falcons13.0080lost-80865
22.08.24Cloud9 – G2 Invictus GamingG2 Invictus Gaming5.8040lost-40945
21.08.24BETBOOM Team – Tundra EsportsBETBOOM Team6.3020lost-20985
21.08.24Gaimin Gladiators – nounsGaimin Gladiators5.0010lost-101005
21.08.24Team Falcons – G2 Invictus GamingTeam Falcons2.2520won+251015
21.08.24Team Spirit – Cloud9Cloud914.0010lost-10990
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected βœ“
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.