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Always the underdog

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1205u
ROI
-13.4%
win rate
43%
bets
261
drawdown
113.7%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-469u
period 2top-up-803u
period 1profit withdrawn+68u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll26143%-340-14.1%39.9%Select
Flat (10 units)26143%-371-14.2%42.7%Select
2% of bankroll26143%-622-13.9%68.4%Select
Martingale6253%-830-38.2%86.8%Select
5% of bankroll26143%-1205-13.4%113.7%Selected
10% of bankroll26143%-1693-12.6%134.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 261, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26CyberHero – KalmychataCyberHero1.9428lost-28-205
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2829lost-29-177
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8931lost-31-147
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8930won+26-116
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4531lost-31-143
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.9433lost-33-112
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5235lost-35-79
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamBy_Owl Team1.8933won+29-44
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4335lost-35-74
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8933won+30-39
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1330won+64-68
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9029won+26-133
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9530lost-30-159
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4332lost-32-128
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0330won+31-96
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingTeam Resilience1.9529won+28-128
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.9528won+26-155
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0229lost-29-182
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9531lost-31-152
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2132lost-32-122
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1134lost-34-89
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9632won+31-55
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8931won+28-87
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0133lost-33-114
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5530won+47-81
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2232lost-32-129
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1234lost-34-97
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0132won+32-63
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION1.9531won+29-95
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.9532lost-32-124
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9131won+28-92
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w Team1w Team1.9232lost-32-120
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1434lost-34-88
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3236lost-36-54
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8934won+31-18
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9136lost-36-48
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbITeam Synapse1.9338lost-38-12
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1340lost-4026
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8942lost-4266
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9240won+37108
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1942lost-4271
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2240won+49113
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1942lost-4265
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2040won+48107
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3642lost-4259
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0844lost-44101
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0346lost-46145
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8944won+39191
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2347lost-47152
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1149lost-49199
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0547won+49248
03.10.261w Team – OG1w Team1.8945won+40199
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1942won+50159
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9244lost-44109
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0442won+44153
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamRostik Team1.9744lost-44109
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9043won+38154
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0345lost-45115
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0343won+44160
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9241won+37116
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.