?

Always the underdog

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-587u
ROI
-13.4%
win rate
43%
bets
257
drawdown
67.6%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-173u
period 2top-up-451u
period 1profit withdrawn+37u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll25743%-320-13.5%39.5%Select
Flat (10 units)25743%-350-13.6%42.4%Select
2% of bankroll25743%-587-13.4%67.6%Selected
Martingale6253%-828-38.8%86.7%Select
5% of bankroll25743%-1143-12.9%112.1%Select
10% of bankroll25743%-1631-12.2%133.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 257, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8917lost-17413
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4517lost-17430
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5218lost-18447
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamBy_Owl Team1.8917won+15465
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4318lost-18449
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8917won+15467
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1317won+35452
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9016won+15416
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4317lost-17402
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9517lost-17418
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0317won+17435
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingTeam Resilience1.9516won+16418
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.9516won+15403
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0216lost-16387
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9517lost-17404
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2117lost-17420
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1117lost-17437
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9617won+16455
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8917won+15438
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5516won+25423
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0117lost-17398
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2217lost-17415
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1217lost-17432
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0117won+17449
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION1.9517won+16432
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.9517lost-17416
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9117won+15433
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w Team1w Team1.9217lost-17418
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1417lost-17435
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3218lost-18452
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8917won+15470
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9118lost-18454
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbITeam Synapse1.9318lost-18472
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1318lost-18490
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8919lost-19509
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9218won+17528
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1919lost-19511
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2218won+23529
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1919lost-19507
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2018won+22526
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3619lost-19504
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0819lost-19522
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0320lost-20542
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8919won+17561
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2320lost-20544
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1120lost-20564
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0520won+21584
03.10.261w Team – OG1w Team1.8919won+17563
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1919won+22546
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9219lost-19524
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0419won+19543
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamRostik Team1.9719lost-19523
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9019won+17542
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0319lost-19525
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0319won+19545
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9218won+17525
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0519lost-19508
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0619lost-19527
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0320lost-20546
01.10.26Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAMBETBOOM TEAM2.3920lost-20566
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.