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Always the underdog

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-19821u
ROI
-85.9%
win rate
5%
bets
4993
drawdown
1977.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-666u
period 24top-up-640u
period 23top-up-791u
period 22top-up-891u
period 21top-up-831u
period 20top-up-794u
period 19top-up-881u
period 18top-up-904u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale911%-1000-95.7%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1563%-1318-84.7%131.7%Select
10% of bankroll29175%-14965-88.4%1479.3%Select
1% of bankroll49935%-19821-85.9%1977.9%Selected
2% of bankroll49935%-23506-86.5%2340.7%Select
5% of bankroll49935%-24786-87.6%2456.6%Select
Quarter Kelly48334%-24965-91.8%2496.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4993, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Team FalconsNigma Galaxy1.903won+3-18821
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.003lost-3-18824
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.003lost-3-18821
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team15.003lost-3-18817
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.003lost-3-18814
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w TeamGamerLegion15.003lost-3-18810
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience14.004lost-4-18807
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamAurora Gaming9.004lost-4-18803
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.004lost-4-18800
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit4.804lost-4-18796
15.08.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team1.924won+3-18793
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming6.004lost-4-18796
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsBETBOOM Team2.704lost-4-18792
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.004lost-4-18789
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming14.004lost-4-18785
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.004lost-4-18781
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.004lost-4-18777
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.004lost-4-18774
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.304lost-4-18770
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.004lost-4-18766
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.004lost-4-18762
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience15.004lost-4-18758
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-18754
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.004lost-4-18750
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingTeam Yandex5.304lost-4-18746
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-18742
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Liquid11.004lost-4-18738
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingGamerLegion15.004lost-4-18733
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGOG3.404lost-4-18729
14.08.261w Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons6.604lost-4-18725
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONBETBOOM Team9.004lost-4-18720
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.004lost-4-18716
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming4.204lost-4-18712
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingL1ga Team4.205lost-5-18707
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.005lost-5-18703
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Yandex4.805lost-5-18698
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.985won+4-18693
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.805lost-5-18698
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingTeam Resilience8.505lost-5-18693
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w Team1w Team4.405lost-5-18689
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.005lost-5-18684
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming14.005lost-5-18679
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.005lost-5-18674
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.005lost-5-18669
13.08.261w Team – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy15.005lost-5-18665
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGOG3.205lost-5-18660
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming4.505lost-5-18655
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.005lost-5-18650
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.005lost-5-18644
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.005lost-5-18639
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.005lost-5-18634
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy5.305lost-5-18629
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.005lost-5-18623
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.005lost-5-18618
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP15.005lost-5-18613
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.006lost-6-18607
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.006lost-6-18602
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPYellow Submarine14.006lost-6-18596
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseTeam Lynx11.006lost-6-18590
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityIlbirs eSports13.006lost-6-18585
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.