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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-340u
ROI
-13.3%
win rate
43%
bets
256
drawdown
42.4%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-79u
period 2top-up-283u
period 1profit withdrawn+22u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll25643%-311-13.2%39.5%Select
Flat (10 units)25643%-340-13.3%42.4%Selected
2% of bankroll25643%-570-13%67.6%Select
Martingale6253%-828-38.8%86.7%Select
5% of bankroll25643%-1112-12.6%112.1%Select
10% of bankroll25643%-1598-12%133.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 256, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8910lost-10660
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5210lost-10670
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamBy_Owl Team1.8910won+9680
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4310lost-10671
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8910won+9681
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1310won+21672
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9010won+9651
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9510lost-10642
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4310lost-10652
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0310won+10662
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingTeam Resilience1.9510won+10651
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.9510won+10642
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0210lost-10632
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9510lost-10642
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2110lost-10652
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1110lost-10662
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9610won+10672
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8910won+9663
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0110lost-10654
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5510won+16664
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2210lost-10648
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10658
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0110won+10668
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION1.9510won+9658
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.9510lost-10649
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9110won+9659
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w Team1w Team1.9210lost-10650
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1410lost-10660
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3210lost-10670
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9680
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9110lost-10671
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbITeam Synapse1.9310lost-10681
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10691
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8910lost-10701
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9210won+9711
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-10702
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2210won+12712
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1910lost-10699
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2010won+12709
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3610lost-10697
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10707
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0310lost-10717
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9727
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2310lost-10719
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1110lost-10729
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11739
03.10.261w Team – OG1w Team1.8910won+9728
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12719
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9210lost-10707
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0410won+10717
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamRostik Team1.9710lost-10707
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9010won+9717
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0310lost-10708
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9718
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10709
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0510lost-10698
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0610lost-10708
01.10.26Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAMBETBOOM TEAM2.3910lost-10718
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0310lost-10728
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0710won+11738
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.