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Always the underdog

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1147u
ROI
-12.8%
win rate
43%
bets
259
drawdown
112.1%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-412u
period 2top-up-803u
period 1profit withdrawn+68u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll25943%-322-13.4%39.5%Select
Flat (10 units)25943%-351-13.6%42.4%Select
2% of bankroll25943%-589-13.3%67.6%Select
Martingale6253%-830-38.2%86.8%Select
5% of bankroll25943%-1147-12.8%112.1%Select
10% of bankroll25943%-1637-12.2%133.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 259, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8928won+25-147
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8930lost-30-172
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4531lost-31-143
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.9433lost-33-112
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5235lost-35-79
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamBy_Owl Team1.8933won+29-44
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4335lost-35-74
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1331won+67-39
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8930won+27-106
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9029won+26-133
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4330lost-30-159
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9532lost-32-128
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0330won+31-96
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingTeam Resilience1.9529won+28-128
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.9528won+26-155
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0229lost-29-182
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9531lost-31-152
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2132lost-32-122
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1134lost-34-89
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9632won+31-55
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8931won+28-87
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0133lost-33-114
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5530won+47-81
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2232lost-32-129
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1234lost-34-97
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0132won+32-63
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION1.9531won+29-95
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.9532lost-32-124
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9131won+28-92
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w Team1w Team1.9232lost-32-120
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1434lost-34-88
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3236lost-36-54
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8934won+31-18
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9136lost-36-48
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbITeam Synapse1.9338lost-38-12
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1340lost-4026
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8942lost-4266
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9240won+37108
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1942lost-4271
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2240won+49113
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1942lost-4265
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2040won+48107
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3642lost-4259
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0844lost-44101
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0346lost-46145
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8944won+39191
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2347lost-47152
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1149lost-49199
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0547won+49248
03.10.261w Team – OG1w Team1.8945won+40199
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1942won+50159
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9244lost-44109
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0442won+44153
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamRostik Team1.9744lost-44109
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9043won+38154
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0345lost-45115
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0343won+44160
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9241won+37116
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0543lost-4379
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0645lost-45122
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.