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Always the underdog

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-341u
ROI
-14%
win rate
43%
bets
265
drawdown
40.7%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-108u
period 2top-up-253u
period 1profit withdrawn+20u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll26543%-341-14%40.7%Select
Flat (10 units)26543%-373-14.1%43.7%Select
2% of bankroll26543%-625-13.8%69.8%Select
Martingale6253%-830-38.2%86.8%Select
5% of bankroll26543%-1211-13.3%115.6%Select
10% of bankroll26543%-1701-12.5%136.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 265, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26By_Owl Team – Korb3n TeamBy_Owl Team1.899won+8659
14.10.26Yellow Submarine – Power RangersPower Rangers2.099lost-9651
14.10.26Kalmychata – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.469lost-9660
14.10.26zxcursed Team – Nix Teamzxcursed Team1.959won+9669
14.10.26CyberHero – KalmychataCyberHero1.949lost-9660
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.289lost-9669
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.899won+8678
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.899lost-9670
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.949lost-9680
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.459lost-9689
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.529lost-9698
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamBy_Owl Team1.899won+8707
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.439lost-9699
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.139won+20709
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.899won+8689
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.959lost-9681
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.909won+8690
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.439lost-9682
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.039won+9691
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingTeam Resilience1.959won+9682
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.959won+9673
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.029lost-9664
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.959lost-9674
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.219lost-9683
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.119lost-9692
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.969won+9701
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.899won+8692
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.019lost-9684
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.559won+14694
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.229lost-9679
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.129lost-9689
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.019won+9698
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION1.959won+9689
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.959lost-9680
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.919won+8689
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w Team1w Team1.929lost-9681
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.149lost-9690
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.329lost-9699
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.899won+8709
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.919lost-9700
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbITeam Synapse1.9310lost-10710
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10719
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8910lost-10729
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9210won+9739
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-10730
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2210won+12740
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1910lost-10728
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2010won+11738
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3610lost-10726
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10736
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0310lost-10746
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9755
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2310lost-10747
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1110lost-10757
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+10767
03.10.261w Team – OG1w Team1.8910won+9756
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12748
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9210lost-10736
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0410won+10746
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamRostik Team1.9710lost-10736
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.