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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-2098u
ROI
-3.8%
win rate
57%
bets
5546
drawdown
220.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-70u
period 6top-up-260u
period 5top-up-507u
period 4top-up-660u
period 3top-up-395u
period 2top-up-145u
period 1top-up-61u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale47453%-669-4.6%81%Select
1% of bankroll554657%-1841-3.9%189.8%Select
Flat (10 units)554657%-2098-3.8%220.8%Selected
2% of bankroll554657%-3236-3.9%330%Select
5% of bankroll554657%-5579-4%566.6%Select
10% of bankroll554657%-6709-3.9%352.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5546, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5510won+5-1098
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+7-1104
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10-1110
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9-1100
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-10-1109
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6-1099
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10-1105
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4-1095
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8-1100
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10-1108
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7-1098
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4-1105
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.8510lost-10-1109
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.5310won+5-1099
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6710won+7-1104
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7610won+8-1111
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8710won+9-1118
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-1127
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10-1133
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8-1123
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7-1131
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+7-1138
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy1.6310lost-10-1145
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8210lost-10-1135
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8-1125
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECNuclear TigeRES1.7010lost-10-1133
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+7-1123
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6210won+6-1130
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden Hordeex-RUSTEC1.5810won+6-1136
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8-1142
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5-1150
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8310won+8-1154
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4510lost-10-1162
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7-1152
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5-1160
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3410won+3-1164
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10-1168
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5-1158
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8-1163
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7510won+8-1171
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7410lost-10-1178
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10-1168
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5-1158
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8110lost-10-1163
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7510won+8-1153
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7410lost-10-1161
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8-1151
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10-1159
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6610won+7-1149
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEDENDELE1.8710lost-10-1156
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5-1146
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7210won+7-1151
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10-1158
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsNT1.7910lost-10-1148
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6-1138
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8710lost-10-1143
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8110won+8-1133
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10-1141
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5-1131
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10-1136
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.