Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-870u
ROI
-5.6%
win rate
53%
bets
473
drawdown
91.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+130u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 473 | 53% | -870 | -5.6% | 91.3% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 5554 | 57% | -1823 | -3.8% | 189.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 5554 | 57% | -2078 | -3.7% | 220.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 5554 | 57% | -3204 | -3.9% | 329.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 5554 | 57% | -5534 | -3.9% | 553.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 5554 | 57% | -6695 | -3.9% | 352.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 473, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.05.26 | AM – CYBERSHOKE | AM | 1.81 | 13 | lost | -13 | 130 |
| 09.05.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.56 | 20 | lost | -20 | 144 |
| 09.05.26 | Tricked – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 164 |
| 09.05.26 | Atreides – NEW VISION | Atreides | 1.83 | 24 | won | +20 | 174 |
| 09.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – Turma do Pagode | Bounty Hunters | 1.79 | 40 | lost | -40 | 154 |
| 09.05.26 | FURIA – Monte | Monte | 1.71 | 20 | lost | -20 | 194 |
| 09.05.26 | PARIVISION – 9z | PARIVISION | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 214 |
| 09.05.26 | INOX Division – BRUTE | INOX Division | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 224 |
| 09.05.26 | GenOne – Ursa | Ursa | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 214 |
| 09.05.26 | Alliance – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.77 | 10 | won | +8 | 224 |
| 09.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.44 | 20 | won | +9 | 217 |
| 09.05.26 | Eternal Fire – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 208 |
| 09.05.26 | Falcons – K27 | Falcons | 1.89 | 46 | won | +41 | 218 |
| 09.05.26 | Spirit – The Huns | The Huns | 1.83 | 640 | lost | -640 | 177 |
| 09.05.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Oxuji | Oxuji | 1.72 | 320 | lost | -320 | 817 |
| 09.05.26 | MOUZ – Gentle Mates | Gentle Mates | 1.87 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1137 |
| 09.05.26 | The MongolZ – magic | magic | 1.71 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1297 |
| 09.05.26 | G2 – Fisher College | Fisher College | 1.82 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1377 |
| 09.05.26 | Aurora – HEROIC | Aurora | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1417 |
| 09.05.26 | Galorys – paiN Academy | paiN Academy | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1437 |
| 09.05.26 | LP – Turma do Pagode | Turma do Pagode | 1.83 | 10 | won | +8 | 1447 |
| 08.05.26 | MIBR fe – Isurus | Isurus | 1.78 | 10 | won | +8 | 1438 |
| 08.05.26 | Yawara – Fake do Biru | Yawara | 1.82 | 80 | won | +66 | 1431 |
| 08.05.26 | Sashi – Lavked | Lavked | 1.60 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1365 |
| 08.05.26 | FAVBET – TNC | FAVBET | 1.84 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1405 |
| 08.05.26 | LP – UNO MILLE | UNO MILLE | 1.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1425 |
| 08.05.26 | Walczaki – ex-RUBY | Walczaki | 1.58 | 40 | won | +23 | 1435 |
| 08.05.26 | TDK – TNC | TNC | 1.80 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1411 |
| 08.05.26 | Alliance – Lavked | Lavked | 1.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1431 |
| 08.05.26 | BET-M – SPARTA | BET-M | 1.84 | 20 | won | +17 | 1441 |
| 08.05.26 | benched gods – NEW VISION | benched gods | 1.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1424 |
| 08.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – Keyd Stars | Bounty Hunters | 1.78 | 20 | won | +16 | 1434 |
| 08.05.26 | Nemesis – CYBERSHOKE | Nemesis | 1.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1419 |
| 08.05.26 | Omega – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.51 | 40 | won | +21 | 1429 |
| 08.05.26 | AM – MOUZ NXT | AM | 1.60 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1408 |
| 08.05.26 | Atreides – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 1.88 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1428 |
| 08.05.26 | 9INE – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.45 | 10 | won | +5 | 1438 |
| 08.05.26 | ALGO – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 1.57 | 10 | won | +6 | 1434 |
| 08.05.26 | SPARTA – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 1428 |
| 08.05.26 | TDK – GenOne | TDK | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 1421 |
| 08.05.26 | Imperial – ALZON | Imperial | 1.70 | 20 | won | +14 | 1412 |
| 07.05.26 | Fake do Biru – Vasco | Vasco | 1.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1398 |
| 07.05.26 | Betclic – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.54 | 20 | won | +11 | 1408 |
| 07.05.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1397 |
| 07.05.26 | Oxuji – Ursa | Oxuji | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 1407 |
| 07.05.26 | Turma do Pagode – BESTIA Academy | Turma do Pagode | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 1399 |
| 07.05.26 | Nemiga – AaB | Nemiga | 1.79 | 20 | won | +16 | 1391 |
| 07.05.26 | BRUTE – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 1.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1375 |
| 07.05.26 | MOUZ NXT – Lavked | Lavked | 1.55 | 10 | won | +5 | 1385 |
| 07.05.26 | The Last Resort – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.66 | 10 | won | +7 | 1380 |
| 07.05.26 | Procyon – Yawara | Yawara | 1.70 | 20 | won | +14 | 1373 |
| 07.05.26 | HAVU – Famalicão | Famalicão | 1.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1359 |
| 07.05.26 | benched gods – M1X KS | benched gods | 1.88 | 10 | won | +9 | 1369 |
| 07.05.26 | Tricked – AM | AM | 1.62 | 10 | won | +6 | 1360 |
| 07.05.26 | EC BANGA – Atreides | Atreides | 1.78 | 20 | won | +16 | 1354 |
| 07.05.26 | UNiTY – Bebop | Bebop | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1339 |
| 07.05.26 | Fire Flux – BIG Academy | BIG Academy | 1.77 | 20 | won | +15 | 1349 |
| 07.05.26 | BESTIA Academy – DAMAJUANA | DAMAJUANA | 1.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1333 |
| 06.05.26 | Isurus – R2 | Isurus | 1.83 | 20 | won | +17 | 1343 |
| 06.05.26 | TNC – Phantom | Phantom | 1.79 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1327 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.