?

Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-6703u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
57%
bets
5552
drawdown
352.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-921u
period 6top-up-999u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4top-up-1000u
period 3top-up-998u
period 2top-up-995u
period 1top-up-790u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale47653%-1165-7.3%112.8%Select
1% of bankroll555257%-1832-3.8%189.4%Select
Flat (10 units)555257%-2089-3.8%220.2%Select
2% of bankroll555257%-3221-3.9%328.6%Select
5% of bankroll555257%-5559-3.9%555.3%Select
10% of bankroll555257%-6703-3.9%352.5%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5552, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Falcons – Ninjas in PyjamasFalcons1.877won+6-5703
14.10.26Bushido Wildcats – BAKSBushido Wildcats1.798lost-8-5710
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.498won+4-5702
14.10.26ex-RUSTEC – mellrenex-RUSTEC1.777won+6-5705
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.557won+4-5711
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.846won+5-5715
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.666won+4-5720
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.467lost-7-5724
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.747lost-7-5717
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.877won+6-5710
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.557lost-7-5716
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.657won+5-5708
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.728lost-8-5713
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.437won+3-5705
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.787won+5-5708
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.608lost-8-5714
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.717won+5-5706
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.407won+3-5711
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.858lost-8-5714
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.537won+4-5706
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.767won+5-5710
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.676won+4-5715
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.606won+4-5720
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.875won+5-5723
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.766lost-6-5728
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.706won+4-5722
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.805won+4-5726
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.715won+4-5730
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy1.635lost-5-5733
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.835won+4-5728
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.826lost-6-5732
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECNuclear TigeRES1.706lost-6-5727
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.626won+4-5720
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.676won+4-5724
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden Hordeex-RUSTEC1.585won+3-5728
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.785won+4-5731
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.455won+2-5734
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.834won+4-5736
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.455lost-5-5740
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.724won+3-5735
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.464won+2-5738
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.665lost-5-5740
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.345won+2-5736
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.794won+3-5737
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.534won+2-5741
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.754won+3-5743
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.744lost-4-5746
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.775lost-5-5741
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.504won+2-5737
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.815lost-5-5739
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.755won+3-5734
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.745lost-5-5738
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.825won+4-5733
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.825lost-5-5736
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.665won+3-5731
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEDENDELE1.875lost-5-5734
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.485won+2-5729
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.725won+3-5731
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.355lost-5-5735
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsNT1.796lost-6-5730
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.