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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-3253u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
57%
bets
5547
drawdown
330%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-209u
period 6top-up-509u
period 5top-up-685u
period 4top-up-760u
period 3top-up-584u
period 2top-up-357u
period 1top-up-148u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale47453%-669-4.6%81%Select
1% of bankroll554757%-1850-3.9%189.8%Select
Flat (10 units)554757%-2108-3.8%220.8%Select
2% of bankroll554757%-3253-3.9%330%Selected
5% of bankroll554757%-5601-4%566.6%Select
10% of bankroll554757%-6717-3.9%352.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5547, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5516won+9-2253
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6615won+10-2261
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4616lost-16-2271
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5516lost-16-2256
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7416lost-16-2239
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8716won+14-2223
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6516won+10-2237
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7216lost-16-2247
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4316won+7-2231
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7816won+12-2238
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6016lost-16-2250
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7116won+11-2234
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4016won+6-2246
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.8516lost-16-2252
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.5316won+9-2236
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7616won+12-2244
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6716won+10-2256
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6015won+9-2267
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8715won+13-2276
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7615lost-15-2289
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8015won+12-2273
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7015won+11-2286
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7115won+11-2296
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy1.6315lost-15-2307
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8215lost-15-2292
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8315won+12-2276
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECNuclear TigeRES1.7015lost-15-2289
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6215won+9-2273
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6715won+10-2283
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden Hordeex-RUSTEC1.5815won+9-2293
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7815won+11-2301
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4514won+7-2313
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8314won+12-2319
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4515lost-15-2331
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7214won+10-2316
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4614won+6-2327
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3414won+5-2333
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6614lost-14-2338
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5314won+8-2324
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7914won+11-2331
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7514won+10-2342
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7414lost-14-2353
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7714lost-14-2339
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5014won+7-2324
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8115lost-15-2331
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7514won+11-2317
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7415lost-15-2328
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8214won+12-2313
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8215lost-15-2325
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6614won+10-2310
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEDENDELE1.8715lost-15-2320
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4815won+7-2305
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7214won+10-2312
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3515lost-15-2322
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsNT1.7915lost-15-2308
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5515won+8-2293
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4715won+7-2301
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8114won+12-2308
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6515lost-15-2319
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8715lost-15-2305
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.