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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-2098u
ROI
-3.8%
win rate
57%
bets
5551
drawdown
220.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-69u
period 6top-up-261u
period 5top-up-507u
period 4top-up-661u
period 3top-up-395u
period 2top-up-145u
period 1top-up-61u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale47453%-471-3.3%72.3%Select
1% of bankroll555157%-1841-3.9%189.8%Select
Flat (10 units)555157%-2098-3.8%220.9%Select
2% of bankroll555157%-3236-3.9%330.1%Select
5% of bankroll555157%-5578-4%554.7%Select
10% of bankroll555157%-6710-3.9%352.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5551, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Bushido Wildcats – BAKSBushido Wildcats1.7910lost-10-1098
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+5-1088
14.10.26ex-RUSTEC – mellrenex-RUSTEC1.7710won+8-1093
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8410won+8-1101
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5510won+5-1109
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+7-1115
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10-1121
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9-1111
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5510lost-10-1120
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-10-1110
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6-1100
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10-1106
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4-1096
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8-1101
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10-1108
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7-1098
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4-1106
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.8510lost-10-1110
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.5310won+5-1100
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7610won+8-1105
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6710won+7-1112
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-1119
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8710won+9-1125
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10-1134
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7-1124
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8-1131
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+7-1139
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy1.6310lost-10-1146
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8210lost-10-1136
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8-1126
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECNuclear TigeRES1.7010lost-10-1134
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+7-1124
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6210won+6-1131
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden Hordeex-RUSTEC1.5810won+6-1137
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8-1143
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5-1151
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8310won+8-1155
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4510lost-10-1163
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7-1153
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5-1161
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3410won+3-1165
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10-1169
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8-1159
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5-1167
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7510won+8-1172
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7410lost-10-1179
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10-1169
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5-1159
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8110lost-10-1164
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7410lost-10-1154
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7510won+8-1144
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8-1152
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10-1160
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6610won+7-1150
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEDENDELE1.8710lost-10-1157
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7210won+7-1147
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5-1154
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10-1159
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsNT1.7910lost-10-1149
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6-1139
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.