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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-1684u
ROI
-6.8%
win rate
54%
bets
2466
drawdown
169.4%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-265u
period 3top-up-687u
period 2top-up-217u
period 1top-up-515u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale9546%-1000-23.7%100%Select
1% of bankroll246654%-1389-6.8%139.6%Select
Flat (10 units)246654%-1684-6.8%169.4%Selected
2% of bankroll246654%-2315-6.7%226%Select
5% of bankroll246654%-3595-6.3%324.6%Select
10% of bankroll246654%-3980-5.3%326.8%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2466, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Nordic Valor – MAYBENordic Valor1.7610lost-10-684
20.08.26FORZE Reload – YounglingsYounglings1.8710lost-10-674
20.08.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.6610won+7-664
20.08.26Ryvex – CoalesceRyvex1.8910won+9-670
20.08.26Leo – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.4810lost-10-679
20.08.26Falcons Force – HonvédHonvéd1.6010lost-10-669
20.08.26G2 – FURIAFURIA1.8610won+9-659
20.08.26Lavked – ENCEENCE1.8410won+8-668
20.08.26LPH – WBTWBT1.7910won+8-676
20.08.26mellren – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.5310lost-10-684
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityFaZe1.6810lost-10-674
20.08.26B8 – SpiritSpirit1.5710won+6-664
20.08.26OG – SPARTAOG1.7710won+8-670
20.08.26Metizport – ColorColor1.8510lost-10-677
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsex-Zero Tenacity1.7710lost-10-667
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersHonvéd1.6710won+7-657
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZFalcons1.5210won+5-664
20.08.26ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verseex-Sashi Academy1.8210lost-10-669
20.08.26Natus Vincere – LegacyNatus Vincere1.8710lost-10-659
20.08.26Lavked – UNiTYUNiTY1.8410won+8-649
20.08.26G2 Ares – BebopG2 Ares1.8010won+8-658
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsBushido Wildcats1.5810won+6-666
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZMOUZ1.5810won+6-672
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraAurora1.7710lost-10-677
19.08.26EAC – ColorEAC1.7810lost-10-667
19.08.26Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT1.6810won+7-657
19.08.26The Last Resort – OGOG1.8010won+8-664
19.08.26Honvéd – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.4210lost-10-672
19.08.26Permitta – Falcons ForcePermitta1.7610lost-10-662
19.08.26PCIFIC – SPARTAPCIFIC1.7910lost-10-652
19.08.26Metizport – Fire FluxFire Flux1.8510lost-10-642
19.08.26FUT – magicmagic1.8010lost-10-632
19.08.26G2 – AstralisG21.7010won+7-622
19.08.26Permitta – EACEAC1.7210won+7-629
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseRevise1.6910lost-10-636
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero TenacityEnjoy1.6710lost-10-626
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.4310lost-10-616
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCEENCE1.6510lost-10-606
19.08.26Misa – The Last ResortThe Last Resort1.6610won+7-596
19.08.26Mai Tai – HonvédHonvéd1.4910won+5-603
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTASPARTA1.7210won+7-608
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxFire Flux1.6810won+7-615
19.08.26Black Phoenix – RaccoonsBlack Phoenix1.8310lost-10-622
19.08.26Misa – ex-Sashi Academyex-Sashi Academy1.8010won+8-612
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaHYPERSPIRIT1.7810won+8-620
19.08.26SAW Youngsters – ex-MANAex-MANA1.8610lost-10-628
19.08.26G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity1.7810won+8-618
19.08.26GenOne – UNiTYGenOne1.5010won+5-625
19.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Endless JourneyBushido Wildcats1.4410won+4-630
19.08.26Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXTInner Circle Academy1.8210won+8-635
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraStrael Bora1.7210lost-10-643
18.08.26Lavked – HAVULavked1.8210lost-10-633
18.08.26Metizport – SPARTASPARTA1.8810lost-10-623
18.08.26Honvéd – Noir VerseHonvéd1.8110won+8-613
18.08.26Color – The Last ResortThe Last Resort1.8610lost-10-621
18.08.26Fire Flux – PCIFICFire Flux1.8210lost-10-611
18.08.26EAC – OGEAC1.7410lost-10-601
18.08.26DONSTU – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT1.8010won+8-591
18.08.26Fortress – PermittaPermitta1.5410won+5-599
18.08.26Omega – EntropyOmega1.4510lost-10-604
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.